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Premium Articles

Oil Is Going Nowhere In Maritime Transportation

Oil Is Going Nowhere In Maritime Transportation

Feb 27, 2019 at 12:55 | Ross McCracken

What do Japan’s recent positioning in favour of open-loop scrubbers and the global trade slowdown have in common? They will both serve to slow fuel use change in the shipping…

Technical Issues Wreak Havoc On Crude Futures

Technical Issues Wreak Havoc On Crude Futures

Feb 27, 2019 at 12:47 | Editorial Dept

One gets very accustomed to good things and it is certainly true for daring presidential tweets, impossible to discern whether it is a genuine emotional outburst or an irregular thought-out…

Renewables Already Limit Upside For Oil

Renewables Already Limit Upside For Oil

Feb 20, 2019 at 13:51 | Editorial Dept

Your author is a firm believer in the idea that sentiment- rather than fundamentals- drives market prices in the short term. That’s why our notes tend to obsess over sentiment…

Global Intelligence Report - 20th February 2019

Global Intelligence Report - 20th February 2019

Feb 20, 2019 at 13:50 | Editorial Dept

Sources - Inside source at a black market Niger Delta refinery - Investigative journalist with access to militants in Nigeria - Nigeria political analyst Everything You Need To Know About…

No End In Sight For Libya’s Oil Struggles

No End In Sight For Libya’s Oil Struggles

Feb 20, 2019 at 13:49 | Editorial Dept

Predicting Libya’s future course is a head-scratcher for any oil analyst, things genuinely start to go steeply downhill the exact moment when some sort of trust is restored and people…

How Robo-Taxis Will Impact Oil Demand

How Robo-Taxis Will Impact Oil Demand

Feb 20, 2019 at 13:49 | Ross McCracken

Vehicle automation is expected to have a huge impact on demand for energy in transport, but there is very little clarity as to what the net effect will be. A…

Oil Rally Continues Despite Soaring Shale Output

Oil Rally Continues Despite Soaring Shale Output

Feb 20, 2019 at 13:45 | Editorial Dept

Starting off the week on February 18 was an unusually comfortable experience for people in the oil industry. Saudi Arabia vowed to cut its crude output beyond OPEC/OPEC+ commitments, which…

The February Hangover In Oil Markets

The February Hangover In Oil Markets

Feb 13, 2019 at 15:58 | Editorial Dept

Have you ever celebrated an event too much? The next day isn’t always very fun. Sometimes the most enjoyable events in life such as holiday parties, weddings and birthdays are…

Global Intelligence Report - 13th February 2019

Global Intelligence Report - 13th February 2019

Feb 13, 2019 at 15:54 | Editorial Dept

Sources -Western diplomat in Libya- Libyan government official- Energy consultant with background in Libyan oil plays- Political analyst/expert on Libyan domestic politics and geopolitics- Turkish private…

Iran’s Present Is Shaky, Its Future Is Precarious

Iran’s Present Is Shaky, Its Future Is Precarious

Feb 13, 2019 at 15:50 | Editorial Dept

It is genuinely difficult to predict what the Iran conundrum would lead to in the end, however, the current setup appears to be a very sophisticated collision course. Quite remarkably,…

LNG’s Downstream Glitch

LNG’s Downstream Glitch

Feb 13, 2019 at 15:46 | Ross McCracken

A slowing Chinese economy and upcoming elections in India could both impact a hitherto robust demand outlook for the LNG industry, which currently occupies an enviable place in the energy…

Markets Impressed By Extra Saudi Production Cuts

Markets Impressed By Extra Saudi Production Cuts

Feb 13, 2019 at 14:00 | Editorial Dept

After the uncertainty and stress of the past weeks, the mid-February oil market is definitely showing signs of a more favorable working environment for all of us. Saudi Arabia has…

Expect More Bullish News For Oil This Month

Expect More Bullish News For Oil This Month

Feb 06, 2019 at 14:19 | Editorial Dept

Last month we wrote a series of notes arguing that risks were either skewed sideways or slightly higher for oil primarily based on the ideas that the US central bank…

Geopolitical Notebook February 6th 2019

Geopolitical Notebook February 6th 2019

Feb 06, 2019 at 14:16 | Editorial Dept

Sources • Two Swiss bankers who know Couriol, the man behind the Venezuela gold scandal• One former Swiss prosecutor who works as a private investigator• Former Aramco executive

Is This The Point Of No Return For Maduro?

Is This The Point Of No Return For Maduro?

Feb 06, 2019 at 14:14 | Editorial Dept

Things have certainly moved into a higher gear in Venezuela, with a genuine diarchy vying for control over the country’s resources and populace. The alleged smuggling of gold reserves, politicized…

Oil Arbitrage Economics: Heavy Crudes Get Pricier

Oil Arbitrage Economics: Heavy Crudes Get Pricier

Feb 06, 2019 at 14:12 | Editorial Dept

Unascertainable times we are having on the global oil market. The struggle for Venezuela, with all its twists and turns, should be looming large as pretty much everyone tries to…

OPEC: Success Or Stagnation?

OPEC: Success Or Stagnation?

Feb 06, 2019 at 13:58 | Ross McCracken

Since the co-option of Russia at the end of 2016, OPEC has appeared resplendent, but it remains a far from perfect cartel with no real destination in sight. Although it…

The Key Risks For Oil In February

The Key Risks For Oil In February

Jan 30, 2019 at 14:42 | Editorial Dept

Oil markets are subject to some compelling story lines right now. Trump/Xi relations are holding risk markets hostage. The US Fed seems to be in a holding pattern on rate…

Global Intelligence Report - 30th January 2019

Global Intelligence Report - 30th January 2019

Jan 30, 2019 at 14:41 | Editorial Dept

Sources - Geopolitical consultant to Fortune 500 companies in the Americas- High-level Scottish government official- Energy consultant to Scottish government- EU economic analyst in Brussels Venezuela: The…

What Impact Will Nigeria’s Elections Have On Oil?

What Impact Will Nigeria’s Elections Have On Oil?

Jan 30, 2019 at 14:41 | Editorial Dept

On February 16, 2019, Nigeria will start off its general elections during which voters will elect the President, National Assembly and an overwhelming majority of governors. Elections traditionally are a…

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