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Global Intelligence Report - 13th February 2019

Oil Workers

Sources

-Western diplomat in Libya
- Libyan government official
- Energy consultant with background in Libyan oil plays
- Political analyst/expert on Libyan domestic politics and geopolitics
- Turkish private intelligence source

The Global Power Play for Libya: This Is Where It Ends

There is now almost no doubt that there is a parallel organization operating within the Libyan Interior Ministry—a concern even recently expressed by Interior Minister Fathi Bashagha, and confirmed by a Western European diplomatic source. That parallel organization represents the interests of external actors—primarily Western countries, and most clearly, France and Italy.

The climax of this Libyan power play is coming to a close right now, and 2019 is very likely to see its conclusion. That conclusion is now, more than ever, shaping up to be Ghaddafi 2.0 in the form of the rise to power of General Haftar of the Libyan National Army (LNA).

The GNA failed. The Petroleum Facilities Guard (PFG) also failed to protect Libya’s oil infrastructure; nor did it have any chance of succeeding when it was operating like a fractured group of militias trying to secure Libya’s oil resources for one group or another. When they succeeded in hijacking Libya’s oil resources for two years, which only ended some 8 months ago, they gave Haftar the justification he was waiting for, and he jumped on it.

But Haftar is but a small, localized…




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