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Geopolitics

Has Iran Massively Underestimated Joe Biden?

Jan 11, 2021 at 17:45 | Simon Watkins

Iran has been waiting since former U.S. President, Donald Trump, unilaterally pulled his country out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in May 2018 and then re-imposed sanctions…

UAE Oil Takes Center Stage In U.S. Pushback Against China

Jan 07, 2021 at 16:36 | Simon Watkins

Abu Dhabi – the oil powerhouse at the centre of the U.S.’s pushback against increasing Chinese influence across the Middle East - last…

U.S. Energy Independence Is Fueling Iran’s Middle East Power Grab

Dec 31, 2020 at 11:29 | Haley Zaremba

The global economy, international geopolitics, and intra-national security have hinged upon oil production capacity and petrol markets so thoroughly that it’s easy to forget that it wasn’t always…

U.S. Relations With Russia Could Crumble Under Biden

Dec 23, 2020 at 11:42 | RFE/RL staff

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov has accused the incoming administration of President-elect Joe Biden of "Russophobia” and says he expects relations with the United States to go…

Venezuela’s Crisis: A Cautionary Tale For Oil Nations

Dec 17, 2020 at 12:50 | Matthew Smith

The story of Venezuela’s rise to wealth and its now near collapse is a cautionary tale for countries rich in natural resources. The 1914 discovery of crude oil…

UAE Oil Is A Vital Geopolitical Weapon Against China's Middle East Expansion

Dec 03, 2020 at 17:34 | Simon Watkins

The key corporate proxy at the centre of the U.S.’s Middle East pushback against increasing Chinese and Russian influence across the region – the Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC)…

Why Biden’s Approach To Venezuela Is So Important For Oil Markets

Nov 18, 2020 at 15:11 | Matthew Smith

In a hard-fought campaign Democrat Joe Biden won the November 2020 U.S. presidential race beating incumbent Donald Trump. There were considerable fears in the run-up to the election…

Saudi Arabia Says It Foiled Houthi Attack On Oil Facility

Nov 13, 2020 at 09:00 | Tsvetana Paraskova

Saudi Arabia has thwarted a planned attack with explosives against an oil products terminal near the border with Yemen, the Kingdom said early on Friday, adding that the attempted attack…

How Kurdistan Is Taking Advantage Of Iraq’s Oil Crisis

Nov 04, 2020 at 12:59 | Simon Watkins

Iraq is facing a desperate financial situation: obliged to pay billions of dollars in state salaries, pensions, and other disbursements whilst its ability to generate revenue to do so is…

Crucial Oil Infrastructure At Risk In New Caucasus Conflict

Oct 13, 2020 at 13:46 | Rystad Energy

Nagorno-Karabakh’s close proximity to key Azeri oil and gas infrastructure means that there will be more at stake if the region’s conflict with Armenia escalates further and jeopardizes key export…

Can Kuwait’s New Ruler Reform The Country?

Oct 05, 2020 at 17:05 | Simon Watkins

Following the death at 91 of Kuwait’s ruler, Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmed Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, his half-brother, Sheikh Nawaf Al-Ahmed Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, aged 83, faces a daunting challenge characterised by…

U.S.-Seized Iranian Fuel Cargoes Stuck In Legal Limbo

Sep 25, 2020 at 12:39 | Charles Kennedy

The cargoes of Iranian gasoline that the United States seized more than a month ago continue to idle off the U.S. Gulf Coast amid a court battle over…

Belarus Crisis Highlights Europe’s Energy Problem

Sep 24, 2020 at 10:39 | Vanand Meliksetian

The ongoing demonstrations in Belarus and the looming instability are a threat to both Russia and the EU. Moscow prefers the continuation of Lukashenko's regime due to political reasons. Europe,…

Why Syria Is A Critical Part Of Russia's Energy Strategy

Sep 21, 2020 at 16:04 | Simon Watkins

Syria is crucial to Russia for three key reasons. First, it is currently the principal Western point of the Shia crescent of power that stretches from Syria and…

Mediterranean Tensions Flare Up As Israel Rehabilitates Pipeline

Sep 15, 2020 at 14:47 | Vanand Meliksetian

The Arab Spring was the start of an ideological conflict between Turkey and the wealthy Arab Gulf nations. Turkish assertiveness is strengthened by an expanding economy and a brand of…

Iraq Could Seek An Exemption From OPEC+ Output Cuts

Sep 11, 2020 at 10:19 | Irina Slav

Iraq is debating whether to ask to be exempted from the oil production cuts OPEC+ agreed on this April. Initially set at 9.7 million bpd, the cuts have now been…

China Looks To Build Espionage Hub In Iran Under 25-Year Deal

Sep 07, 2020 at 17:50 | Simon Watkins

The next phase of the 25-year deal between China and Iran will focus on a large-scale roll-out of electronic espionage and warfare capabilities…

Conflict Between Armenia And Azerbaijan Threatens Europe’s Energy Security

Sep 07, 2020 at 12:56 | James Durso

On 12 July 2020, Armenia’s military shelled the village of Aghdam in Azerbaijan’s Tovuz district in the northwest of the country. The forces of Azerbaijan responded, attacking Armenian military structures,…

What The UAE-Israel Deal Really Means For The Middle East

Aug 31, 2020 at 17:06 | Simon Watkins

The announcement on 13 August that Israel and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) will normalise relations, around the same as Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that he…

Could The GNA Ever Successfully Control Libya’s Oil?

Aug 19, 2020 at 12:45 | The Jamestown Foundation

Introduction The success of the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) in forcing the withdrawal of the eastern-based Libyan National Army (LNA) from northwestern Libya has led to…

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