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Will We See $90 WTI Soon?

U.S. Crude Trends Upward

U.S. benchmark October West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices marked a significant uptick, with U.S. crude oil seeing an increase of over $2 a barrel on Thursday. This jump is attributed to expectations that the OPEC+ consortium, dominated by Saudi Arabia, will maintain their production cuts till 2023's end. This would mark an extended period of OPEC-led reductions, further consolidating the market's bullish stance. Additionally, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) registered a 2.2% gain, marking its third consecutive month of positive momentum, a testament to the increasingly tight supply.

Depletion and Production Dynamics

Recent data from the U.S. government illuminated the crude landscape, revealing a rise in U.S. crude oil production by 1.6% in June, reaching 12.844 million bpd, its apex since the pre-pandemic days of February 2020. Despite this, U.S. crude stockpiles took a dive, diminishing by an unexpected 10.6 million barrels in the past week, a result of heightened exports and intensified refinery operations. Furthermore, the continuous drawdown in U.S. inventories, coupled with augmented production cuts by giants like Saudi Arabia and Russia, totaling around 75 million barrels in the past two months, points to an imminent market tightening.

Global Market Repercussions

U.S. crude inventories often serve as a bellwether for the global oil market, owing to their timely weekly reports, offering a near real-time…

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  • Mike Lewicki on September 01 2023 said:
    92 is a fair price

    you could do a study on population growth
    and how the base volume need for crude has increased even with some EV adoption.

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