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Putin Is Not Peter The Great

Putin is not Peter the Great. That is a good starting point for examining the position in which the Russian leader now finds himself. 

The military defeat now clearly shows a breakdown in reality at the Russian Defense Ministry. Voices that have only been praising the Russian ‘special operation’ on the podium are now coming out with a very different tone. The most notable voice is that of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, who has all but point blank suggested that Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has no idea what’s going on on the ground in Ukraine. Kadyrov would be happy to show him, of course, and it is interesting that he has not been chastised for his statements. 

This suggests that all is not well among the Kremlin elite, and Putin’s damage-control efforts will create even more damage to control–such as the partial mobilization he just ordered, resulting in mass protests, mass arrests, and a rush to the exit for military-aged men. 

The ruse is now up for Putin at home. He can no longer pretend this isn’t a war or that it’s just a simple ‘operation’ with few casualties that the Russian public can easily rally around. No amount of media control can now cover up a military mobilization. So, the cat is out of the bag, so to speak, and it’s not going to go well at home. (Over 1,000 arrests by the end of the night following the mobilization call speaks volumes). 

Don’t expect…

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