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Bullish Sentiment Builds After the IEA Boosts Demand Outlook


IEA’s Influence on Oil Demand and Price Trends

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is playing a pivotal role in shaping the bullish sentiment in the May West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil market. Thursday’s upward revision for 2024 oil demand growth, marking the fourth adjustment since November, forecasts a tighter market with a demand rise of 1.3 million barrels per day. This revised outlook, coupled with the impact of Houthi attacks disrupting Red Sea shipping, underscores the IEA's significant sway on market trends.

U.S. Demand Resilience Amid Economic Shifts

The U.S. market is showing strong demand for oil, as evidenced by the significant decrease in gasoline stocks reported by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. With gasoline inventories hitting a three-month low and an unexpected fall in crude stockpiles, the market demonstrates a robust demand trend. This situation is further bolstered by the U.S. government's purchase of approximately 3.25 million barrels of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), highlighting the proactive approach to domestic energy requirements.

Geopolitical Tensions Escalating Supply Concerns

Geopolitical events, especially the Ukraine-Russia conflict, are intensifying concerns about oil supply. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refineries, notably on Rosneft PJSC’s Ryazan plant, have raised supply risks. These events, alongside OPEC+ supply cuts and…

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