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3 Bearish Catalysts For Oil This Fall

3 Bearish Catalysts For Oil This Fall

Crude prices have recovered from…

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana is a writer for Oilprice.com with over a decade of experience writing for news outlets such as iNVEZZ and SeeNews. 

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Oil Prices Set For Biggest Daily Drop Since Early April

Oil prices dropped by almost 3 percent on Thursday morning and were set for the biggest percentage drop since early April, after the restart of Colonial Pipeline eased some of the concerns about gasoline shortages in the U.S. East.

As of 11:01 a.m. EDT on Thursday, WTI Crude was falling by 2.94 percent at $64.14 and Brent Crude was down by 2.64 percent at $67.49.

Oil prices snapped the winning streak from earlier this week when reports from both OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA) reiterated the view that global oil demand would rebound strongly in the second half of the year with more economies reopening and increased travel amid higher vaccination rates.

The excess oil inventories of the past year have been all but depleted, and a strong demand rebound in the second half this year could lead to even steeper stock draws, the IEA said on Wednesday. The agency’s bullish outlook on demand, coupled with a similar view from OPEC from Tuesday, sent oil prices to an eight-week high on Wednesday.

But on Thursday, the market focused again on the COVID crisis in India and the coronavirus strain there.

In addition, Colonial Pipeline resumed operations late on Wednesday, the operator of America’s main fuel pipeline said. Colonial warned that a full return to normal deliveries after a ransomware attack forced a total shutdown on Friday would take a few more days, Yet, the gradual restart eased some of the concerns that the U.S. East Coast would suffer from fuel shortages beyond this weekend.

On Thursday, the U.S. dollar also played a part in falling oil prices as the greenback strengthened, making crude buying more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Concerns about inflation added to the bearish note on the markets early on Thursday.

“Crude futures were sliding early Thursday in Asia as the broader financial markets languished in a risk-off mode after the US on Wednesday reported strong consumer inflation for April,” Vanda Insights said in daily note.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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  • George Doolittle on May 13 2021 said:
    That's 100 million consumers in the USA "making the switch" away from gasoline no doubt. Great news for the pipeline operator but bad news for those trying to sell $5 dollar bags of potato chips in the store at the "fuel depot."

    I still fail to see much if any gasoline demand in the USA at the moment given the context of Big Battery, hybrid-electric but higher prices for everything as well.

    Even diesel fuel look in grave danger of being priced out of the energy market in the USA at the moment.

    Good article but yes absolutely one must worry about a sudden and massive flood of imports of *all the things* with US Dollar prices this high for energy product the one exception being natural gas.
  • Mamdouh Salameh on May 13 2021 said:
    The fall in oil prices today is no more than a short pause while the global oil market assesses the situation.

    Oil prices will very soon resume their surge strengthened by the optimistic assessment of the global oil demand by OPEC+ and the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the fact that the oil glut is over.

    The bullish factors in the market far outweigh India's COVID crisis. That is why Brent will resume its surge towards $70 a barrel soon.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Visiting Professor of Energy Economics at ESCP Europe Business Scholl, London

Leave a comment




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