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Oil Traders Increasingly Bullish Despite Economic Uncertainties


The global oil market has experienced a whirlwind of movements this week, with prices swinging between highs and lows, driven by a myriad of factors ranging from supply constraints to economic indicators and geopolitical events.

In-depth Market Dynamics

The week started with oil prices in the red, but as it progressed, a significant rally was observed in December crude oil futures, surging up by $5.74 from its weekly low before sellers decided to step in. The market reflected classic signs of a closing price reversal top on Thursday, indicating that despite the contract still being up for the week, a 2 to 3 day correction might be on the horizon.

The scarcity of supply and a reduction in inventory levels had Brent's front-month reaching $97.69, its highest since November 2022, while nearby WTI rose to its highest level since August 2022 at $95.03.

This shortage in supply was intensified by the production cutbacks initiated by Saudi Arabia and Russia under the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+), totaling 1.3 million barrels per day until the end of the year. Furthermore, Russia’s sustained ban on fuel exports due to the instability in its domestic market accentuates the tightening grip on global supply, with implications for price movements in the short and medium term.

Economic Factors and Price Influences

On the economic front, the U.S. has witnessed stable growth with a 2.1% increase in the second quarter, driven…

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