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Uncertainty Ahead For Ukraine And Iraq

What Ukraine can expect this winter

By Tuesday, the Russian military was claiming to have recaptured some territory in eastern Kharkiv after a Ukrainian counteroffensive had pushed Russian forces back. As far as we can tell, the Russian victory in retaking Kharkiv only includes one small village—Gorobiivka.

But while Moscow is talking of a small gain in the Kharkiv region, pro-Kremlin officials were fleeing Kherson by Wednesday amid a Ukrainian advance. This is a key development considering that Kherson was one of the first territories Russian forces had occupied in the invasion. While the Ukrainian counteroffensive continues to push out Russian forces from occupied territory, the blowback for this is a missile barrage on utility infrastructure that is designed to make for an extremely difficult winter for Ukraine.

What we expect going forward now that Russia has been wrong-footed by Ukraine’s counteroffensive is an increased momentum of missile attacks as Putin’s ground troops falter and untrained recruits prove not up to the task.

This strategy has already begun in the form of kamikaze drone attacks on Kyiv, using drones supplied by Iran.

Starting in September, at about the same time as the successful Ukrainian counteroffensive that saw Ukraine win back territory in the east occupied by Russia, Moscow and Tehran held talks about arms supplies. Putin has been gunning for more weapons from Iran, and it now appears that his requests…


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