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Ukraine's Counteroffensive Has Begun


Politics, Geopolitics & Conflict

In what is perhaps Ukraine’s most significant counteroffensive since the war began, Ukrainian forces began a series of attacks on the Russian frontline last week, claiming earlier this week to have retaken some half a dozen villages. Russia denies these claims, with pro-Russian military bloggers posting pictures of what they say are Ukraine’s destroyed Leopard-2 tanks. Neither Russian nor Ukrainian reporting from the front line is reliable, and the battlefield situation remains extremely dynamic. Earlier this week, in retaliation against Ukraine’s counteroffensive, Russia launched a missile strike on Zelensky’s hometown in central Ukraine, killing 11 people. This week we also heard a rare concession by Putin vis-a-vis the unpreparedness of Russia for the numerous incursions in the Belgorod border region with Ukraine. Meanwhile, the rivalry between the Russian Defense Ministry and Prigozhin’s Wagner mercenaries continued to intensify, with Putin decreeing that Wagner would have to sign a contract with the Defense Ministry, essentially to place itself under the military’s control. Wagner refused, and the contract in question instead went to Wagner’s other rival, Chechen strongman Ramzan Kadyrov’s new mercenary group (Akhmat). The contract largely suggested that Wagner has no legal status without it. Wagner said on Tuesday that it was not sure whether its mercenaries would continue to fight…

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