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Ukraine: The Investor’s View from Kiev

Due to the tense standoff between Russia and Ukraine in the Crimea, and the increased pressure this has put not only on far-reaching international relations, but on Ukraine’s energy security and its critical energy independence ambitions, this week we take you straight to Kiev for on-the-ground insight.

First, to recap the events of the past several weeks:

Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych was ousted in February after months of street protests in Kiev, sending the country into a chaotic struggle for a new administration—with the energy portfolio one of the prime pieces of political real estate. But the ensuing chaos was sidelined by another crisis of an international nature when Russia moved to seize Ukraine’s Crimea region, where it harbors its Black Sea Fleet. The standoff here continues between Ukrainian troops and pro-Russian troops holding the Belbek airbase. The US has threatened a variety of sanctions on Russia, and US Secretary of State John Kerry hit the ground in Kiev in a show of support for the new administration and promises of an economic assistance package. On Monday, we saw panic in the markets, but that panic subsided when Russian President Vladimir Putin made a live TV appearance saying that military action would be a last resort to protect its “compatriots” from the “terror” in the aftermath of what Russia perceives as a coup. After a day of panic on Monday, Putin’s comments on Tuesday gave the Russian bond markets a bit of a reprieve. But…




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