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Is Libya On The Brink Of Another Civil War?

Geopolitics, Politics & Conflict

In Libya, where elections are supposed to be held on December 24th, there has been a delay in approving the official candidate list, which could mean that elections will be delayed as well. No one even knows who has the ultimate authority to postpone elections. There are real fears this delay will lead to more bloodshed and a possible return to all-out civil war. On Thursday, a group of armed men surrounded the Presidential Council building in Tripoli, which houses the PM’s office, just as the PM (Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh) announced his candidacy for president. In the meantime, clashes broke out Tuesday in Sebha between local government and pro-Haftar forces, sparked by reports (unconfirmed) that Haftar loyalists seized military vehicles intended to be used in election security. Sebha is in Libya’s south, where the government has little control, adding to speculation that Haftar was simply reminding them of that. We see no way out of bloodshed here. There is too much at stake for Haftar, a powerful presidential candidate who has also been sentenced to death in absentia in Misrata for war crimes.

The European Union on Monday imposed sanctions against the Russian private military outfit, the Wagner Group, and related entities and individuals for human rights abuses and destabilizing activities in Ukraine, Syria, Libya, and the Central African Republic. The sanctions extend to three Russian oil and gas companies said to…

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