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High Power Prices Are Undermining Europe's Renewable Energy Plans

1. Drastic OPEC+ Cuts Signal Group Cohesion

- Having met in person for the first time in more than two years, OPEC+ agreed to cut oil production in November 2022 by 2 million b/d from current production targets, setting it on a collision course with the US.

- Because OPEC+ has already been underperforming by almost 4 million b/d, the real output curbs would amount to some 1.0-1.1 million b/d, according to the Saudi energy minister.

- The deal sent oil prices back to territory that most OPEC+ countries feel comfortable with, as ICE Brent is back at $95/barrel and WTI is increasingly flirting with the $90/barrel threshold.

- Angered that the OPEC+ move would lift gasoline prices right before the midterm elections, the Biden Administration threatened to initiate legal anti-trust action against the oil group.

2. Sliding Yuan Creates Headache Ahead of Party Congress

- As the 20th National Congress of the CCP is set to start on October 16, China’s monetary authorities have been desperately trying to keep the Chinese yuan from sliding even lower.

- Stronger even at the peak of COVID, the yuan tumbled some 7% from mid-August and hit a 14-year low of ¥7.25 per USD in late September, forcing the Chinese Central Bank to instigate a quick dollar sell-off.

- Whilst a weaker yuan makes Chinese exports more attractive, it also stokes further volatility in the country’s financial sector as foreign investors have…





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