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Large Surprise Crude Draw Lifts Oil Prices

The American Petroleum Institute (API) has estimated a large crude oil inventory draw of 5.92 million barrels for the week ending September 26—a surprise compared to analyst expectations of a 1.567-million-barrel build.

Last week saw a surprise build in crude oil inventories of 1.38 million barrels, according to API data. The EIA estimated that week that there was larger inventory build of 2.4 million barrels.

After today’s inventory move, the net draw for the year is 29.85 million barrels for the 40-week reporting period so far, using API data.

Oil prices were trading slightly up on Tuesday prior to the data release, with prices leveling out after the market upset in the wake of the attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure that took 5.7 million bpd of crude production offline. Saudi Aramco’s production has reportedly returned to normal levels just two weeks after the attacks.

At 11:21am EDT, WTI was trading up $0.14 (+0.26%) at $54.21—a $3.00 fall from this time last week. Brent was trading up $0.42 (+0.71%) at $59.37, also a $3.00 per barrel decrease over last week’s levels.  

The API this week reported a build of 2.133 million barrels of gasoline for week ending September 26. Analysts predicted a build in gasoline inventories of 449,000 barrels for the week.

Distillate inventories fell by 1.741 million barrels for the week, while inventories at Cushing rose by 373,000 barrels.

US crude oil production as estimated by the Energy Information Administration showed that production for the week ending September 20 resumed its all-time high of 12.5 million bpd, after slipping to 12.4 million bpd in the three weeks prior.

At 4:44pm EDT, WTI was trading at $53.63, while Brent was trading at $58.99.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • Charlie Gee on October 01 2019 said:
    Why a surprise?
  • Jim Miceli on October 01 2019 said:
    Here comes another opportunity to slash the price of (WTI) downside to 52. and small change. I see a cold winter in the Northeast and Heating Oil will see an increase in USD while Gasoline may reach somewhere around 3.-- . Some Oil Slicks think the weight of the Oil Tanker gives them rise like watching Royal Dutch Shell take a dive while I am secure waiting for the best price for (BP)> Watch your Gage. Jimmy The Tapper. 010/01/19 6:09 p.m. Hrs..

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