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Geopolitics / Africa

Libya: Countrywide Alert, Capital Uncertainty

Feb 14, 2013 at 14:41 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: While the oil-rich Benghazi region has been in a critical security state for some time, the capital Tripoli should be considered a top threat. Lufthansa and Austrian Airlines…

Assassination in Tunisia, Trigger for Revolutionary Revival

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:20 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: The assassination on 6 February of opposition politician Chokri Belaid, a notable opponent of the Islamist-led government, is the trigger that will push the ongoing political crisis and…

Africa No.1 Risk Area for Oil Tankers

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:23 | John Daly

First, the good news.Piracy off Somalia is down. In 2012, there were 297 piracy attacks and 28 hijackings worldwide, according to the International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting…

Foreign Energy Investors Should Not Give Up on Egypt

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:21 | Charles Kennedy

Egypt is not only hungry for energy—it’s starving, and this starvation will play a role in the underlying revolutionary instability that has foreign investors asking whether the other boot is…

Mali, Nigeria, and the Bigger Picture

Feb 05, 2013 at 16:52 | Gregory R. Copley

The Mali War will be neither simple nor quick, ‘though the players all wish it so.  Timboctou, almost a year in the hands of militants, had fallen to…

Investors Beware: Egypt's Revolution is Not Over

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:20 | Editorial Dept

In April, Egypt will hold crucial parliamentary elections. Preparations for this are being undertaken against an extremely volatile backdrop of violent protests, a state of emergency in three key provinces,…

Further Attempts to Destabilize Egypt

Jan 25, 2013 at 12:51 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Religious violence between Christians and Muslims in Egypt erupts to a dangerous level. In the city of Luxor, in highly Christian-populated Qena province, Muslim protesters attacked Christian-run shops and…

Chevron Hits Morocco, Majors only Blink over Algeria

Jan 24, 2013 at 16:49 | Charles Kennedy

Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), one of the world’s four largest integrated companies, is now planning to explore for oil in Morocco’s deep waters in a deal that would give it a…

Why This is All Libya's Fault

Jan 18, 2013 at 17:09 | Daniel J. Graeber

A Libyan defense force charged with making sure the nation's oil sector is secured said it was strengthening its lines along the western and southern borders given regional instability. A…

Algeria Hostage Crisis - Look to Mali for Answers

Jan 18, 2013 at 12:05 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Islamic militants generally based in Mali launched an attack on Monday/Tuesday on a BP-operated gas field in the neighboring Algerian Sahara desert. They took over 600 hostages from 10…

Yemen - Oil War to Intensify

Jan 10, 2013 at 13:54 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Just east of the capital Sana’a at least five people have been killed in fighting near an oil pipeline that began the last week of December. Tribes…

China in Africa: Partners in the Year of the Snake

Dec 31, 2012 at 14:50 | Charles Kennedy

African exports to China have increased six-fold since 2000 alone, the bulk of it in oil, and this year, China surpassed the US and Europe as Africa’s largest trading partner.…

Russia – The New Player in African Politics

Dec 17, 2012 at 17:02 | Post Carbon

In the past, Russian foreign policy was mostly based in the decisions made by the Politburo—and then after by Boris Yeltsin’s foreign policy—the pursuit of an African policy not was…

The Huge Risk-Reward Scenario In East Africa

Nov 27, 2012 at 17:18 | Charles Kennedy

Welcome to East Africa—home of a potential 28 billion barrels of recoverable oil, 440 trillion cubic feet of gas and 14 billion barrels of natural gas liquids.Recent success…

Why Liberia Has Not Been Able to Break its Resource Curse

Nov 23, 2012 at 17:12 | Economywatch

Liberia is a nation rich with natural resources including iron ore, gold, diamonds, natural rubber, vast forest for logging and timber harvesting, and vast agriculture land for ensuring food security.…

The Secret War Between China and the US for Africa's Oil Riches

Nov 20, 2012 at 17:48 | Chris Mansur

In the struggle to secure energy resources, the great powers consider all states to be fair game. Indeed, this is precisely what characterizes American foreign policy in the modern era.…

Madagascar: The Hottest Energy Play in East Africa

Nov 09, 2012 at 16:05 | Editorial Dept

Madagascar’s been sitting on some 20 billion barrels in oil reserves for quite a while. Investors have only recently shown interest, though. Extraction is technologically challenging, and no one was…

Desperate South Sudan Carves up Total Concession

Nov 08, 2012 at 17:26 | Charles Kennedy

Newly independent, oil-rich South Sudan holds some 75% of Sudan’s total oil resources, but it may be too early to risk things here. Ask Total (NYSE: TOT). The government just…

The New 9/11 Attacks: A Drama Which Obscures the Domestic Power-Plays in Libya

Sep 21, 2012 at 17:21 | Gregory R. Copley

The surge in jihadist attacks on US diplomatic missions in September 2012 largely obscured the complex realities around a number of individual incidents and locales, particularly the Libyan situation.

Libya - Doomed from Day One

Sep 13, 2012 at 17:45 | Charles Kennedy

People often ask me why the West doesn’t attempt a Libya-style intervention in Syria. After all, things are going so well in Libya. Oil production is up. But oil production…

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