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A Watershed Moment For Turkey

A Watershed Moment For Turkey

Turkey's upcoming elections in May…

Geopolitics / Africa

Libya - Doomed from Day One

Sep 13, 2012 at 17:45 | Charles Kennedy

People often ask me why the West doesn’t attempt a Libya-style intervention in Syria. After all, things are going so well in Libya. Oil production is up. But oil production…

A Confluence of Events in the Horn

Sep 06, 2012 at 17:29 | Gregory R. Copley

The announcement of the death of Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi — possibly a month after he actually died — starts to focus the growing confluence of events in the…

Digging Down into the Sudan-South Sudan Oil Agreement

Aug 24, 2012 at 14:53 | Geopolitical Monitor

The recent oil transit deal between Sudan and South Sudan, which is expected to come into effect by the end of this month, does not symbolize a fundamental change in…

China and the U.S. in Africa - Who's "Ahead?"

Aug 08, 2012 at 17:25 | John Daly

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in the midst of an 11-day trip across sub-Saharan Africa. Speaking on 1 August on the topic “Remarks on Building Sustainable Partnerships in…

Violence may Hinder Sudanese Oil Advances

Aug 07, 2012 at 17:11 | Daniel J. Graeber

South Sudan and Sudan made headway in resolving oil disputes lingering since January. A peace deal that secured South Sudan's independence last year called for equal divisions of oil revenue…

Subdued Optimism as Sudan's Cut Oil Transit Deal

Aug 06, 2012 at 17:10 | Charles Kennedy

Sudan and South Sudan reached an agreement on oil transit fees over the weekend, and while unresolved security and border issues will continue to hinder peace, South Sudan has strengthened…

Can Libya Repel the Invaders and Survive?

Jul 27, 2012 at 16:57 | Gregory R. Copley

Libyans went, on July 7, 2012, into their first national elections in decades, and foreign observers hailed the fact that the event took place so well, and that democracy had…

Global Energy Could Change as the Autocracies of Ethiopia and Eritrea Fall Apart

Jul 26, 2012 at 17:05 | Gregory R. Copley

The Emperor’s Ghost: How the Transformations in the Horn of Africa and Red Sea Reflect, and Help Change, the Global Energy and Geopolitical SceneThe Red Sea and Africa’s…

Oil Opens Another Frontline of War in Somalia

Jul 13, 2012 at 17:52 | Charles Kennedy

Kenya has raised the ire of Somalia by awarding offshore oil and gas exploration blocks to multinational companies in contested waters, and while the mainstream Western media glosses over this…

Does Democracy Cloud Libya's Oil Future?

Jul 11, 2012 at 17:10 | Daniel J. Graeber

Oil ports in eastern Libya had reopened by Monday, ending a weekend shutdown that coincided with the first democratic elections in a generation. NATO forces last year intervened in a…

Kenya Anchor to East African Oil Economy

Jul 06, 2012 at 17:00 | Daniel J. Graeber

Major international oil companies are taking a close look at the offshore oil potential in East African states. London-listed explorer Tullow Oil said it was interested in fast-tracking its…

After Egypt's Presidential Elections, Can We Expect Changes in Energy Policies?

May 28, 2012 at 17:55 | John Daly

The Egyptian presidential election is the most important political development flowing from the “Arab spring,” with enormous implications for the entire Middle East.According to partial results on 25…

South Sudan Experiment Headed Toward Failure

May 07, 2012 at 23:21 | Daniel J. Graeber

The World Bank, in a draft document reviewed by the independent Sudan Tribune, warns that South Sudan could collapse by its two-year anniversary because authorities in Juba were unaware of…

Climate Change and the Potential for Future Instability in North Africa

Apr 23, 2012 at 17:08 | Science Progress

Northwest Africa is crisscrossed with climate, migration, and security challenges. From Nigeria to Niger, Algeria, and Morocco, this region has long been marked by labour migration, bringing workers from sub-Saharan…

Sudan: The Oil Drums of War

Apr 13, 2012 at 16:33 | Daniel J. Graeber

The U.S. special envoy for Sudan told reporters in January he was "very concerned" about the situation in Sudan. South Sudan and Sudan split last year under the terms…

As Mali Risks Regional Stability, No One Is Asking the Right Questions

Apr 10, 2012 at 13:40 | Charles Kennedy

A lot has happened in Mali in less than three weeks’ time. Renegade soldiers have declared a coup d’état; Touareg separatists have carved out their own state the size of…

The Vital Strategic Debate: Who - in the West - Lost Africa?

Feb 22, 2012 at 17:43 | Strategic Studies

The debate in the West over “who lost China” resonated in 1949 as the Nationalist forces of Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek began their withdrawal to Taiwan from the Chinese mainland, and…

As the Syrian Crisis Deepens Will Russia Step in Before the UN?

Jan 31, 2012 at 17:30 | Juan Cole

The events of the past five days in Syria may be a game changer, both domestically and internationally. Last Thursday, opposition forces said, 100 people were killed. Massacres were alleged…

Can South Sudan Ever Escape from Violence and Chaos?

Jan 14, 2012 at 07:30 | John Daly

There’s bad news and then there’s South Sudan, the world’s newest state. Less than six months after peacefully seceding from Sudan in the wake of an internally supervised plebiscite, South…

China's Oil Diplomacy a First

Dec 14, 2011 at 17:59 | John Daly

China’s diplomatic efforts have traditionally been modes in the extreme, supporting unilateral engagement to solve thorny issues. No more. In a first, Beijing is inserting itself into resolving…

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