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Geopolitics / Africa

Ethiopia-Egypt Maneuvering Takes on “Black and White” Operational Guises

Jun 19, 2013 at 16:51 | Gregory R. Copley

Egypt, by mid-June 2013, had begun taking a two-pronged strategic approach — overtly diplomatic, covertly combative — to its dealings with Ethiopia over alleged (or potential) to its dealings with…

US Hawks Prepare for Syria Showdown

Jun 17, 2013 at 17:08 | Charles Kennedy

Washington certainly needs a distraction from the NSA digital surveillance scandal and since it has to be big, it might as well be Syria, where the hawks have now either…

EGYPT: Political, Economic Uncertainty Fueled by Fuel

Jun 14, 2013 at 15:33 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: As Egypt’s political uncertainty soars unabated, two major oil supply deals with Iraq and Libya are falling through without the financing guarantees, while energy shortages threaten to lend…

GHANA: Forward Movement on TEN Project

Jun 14, 2013 at 15:21 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Tullow gets a boost in emerging oil major Ghana, with the official green light for a massive deep-water development project encompassing its three latest discoveries, while the list…

Libyan Oil Production Suffers as World Attention Shifts

Jun 12, 2013 at 16:56 | Daniel J. Graeber

Oil production from OPEC-member Libya, a leading African oil producer, hasn't recovered from civil war. The state oil company said it wasn't able to return to its pre-war glory because…

Forget Oil – There is a Far More Precious Commodity at Stake

Jun 11, 2013 at 19:27 | Claude Salhani

Forget oil for once; the new cause of rising tension in the Greater Middle East (and Africa) today is between two countries that do not even share a common border. …

Egypt’s Instability Triggers a New Proxy War Against Ethiopia and its Allies

Jun 07, 2013 at 21:57 | Gregory R. Copley

Egypt’s Morsi Government has initiated a return to covert war against Ethiopia, which controls the source of the Blue Nile, Egypt’s and Sudan’s principal source of water.  The…

Has Piracy Around the Horn of Africa Gone?

Jun 06, 2013 at 16:59 | ISN Security Watch

What's behind the recent decline in maritime piracy attacks off the Horn of Africa? Sonia Rothwell believes that military operations on land and at sea are starting to have the…

Oil More Likely to Divide Lebanon than Unite it

Jun 04, 2013 at 17:07 | Claude Salhani

Lebanon has long been a country divided by its politics and its religion and now it might be further divided by its oil.Many Lebanese are elated by the…

TUNISIA: Salafi Extremism Will Affect Oil Confidence

May 31, 2013 at 13:13 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Developments during the month of May indicate that Tunisia’s Islamist government is preparing in earnest to take on the threat posed by radical Salafi forces. Analysis:…

Next Possible African Petro-State – Namibia?

May 29, 2013 at 16:58 | John Daly

Africa’s fabled mineral riches have excited foreign imaginations for centuries. When in 1324, Mali’s king Mansa Musa, who had converted to Islam 18 years earlier, made his haj…

Africa Ready to Reverse its Resource Curse

May 28, 2013 at 16:46 | MINING.com

Despite current setbacks in the global economy and Africa’s failure to take advantage of the last decade’s resources boom, experts believe agricultural, mining and energy resources can boost the continent’s…

SOMALIA: This New Frontier Isn’t Ready for Oil

May 24, 2013 at 13:43 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Somalia plans to sign 30 PSCs this year with foreign oil companies and auction off over 300 new oil blocks, but oil rights here are not solidified and…

NAMIBIA: First Oil Discovery Overrides Earlier Disappointments

May 24, 2013 at 13:38 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: It’s been a rough ride for Namibia explorers but this week explorers announced their first oil discovery, and while it’s not commercially viable, it could be the first…

Nigeria may be Next OPEC Member to Fall

May 10, 2013 at 18:15 | Daniel J. Graeber

The wealthiest man in Africa said he's secured billions of dollars in loans to help kick start the refinery business in Nigeria. OPEC-member Nigeria is forced to import most of…

GHANA-COTE D’IVOIRE: New Find, Old Maritime Dispute

May 10, 2013 at 15:12 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: A new discovery by France’s Total SA (TOT) just inside territorial waters of Cote d’Ivoire will either exacerbate or speed up a resolution for a maritime boundary dispute…

KENYA: Oil Production 6-7 Years Away

May 10, 2013 at 15:08 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Close to proving commercial viability of its major finds since last year, a new report by the IMF suggests that Kenya will start producing in 6-7 years.

SOUTH SUDAN: More Good News for Oil Production

May 03, 2013 at 15:41 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Following a long-awaited agreement with Sudan that has South Sudan ready to continue oil production, other developments bode well for South Sudan output, including the integration of rebel…

Kenya Aspires to be East Africa Hydrocarbon Transit Hub

May 02, 2013 at 17:00 | Charles Kennedy

Kenya is moving forward incrementally with its massive $24 billion regional infrastructure project, the Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia Transit Corridor (LAPSSET), awarding a key tender to a Chinese company.In…

Amid Deteriorating Security, Libya Seeks Higher OPEC Quota

Apr 25, 2013 at 17:14 | Charles Kennedy

A day after Libya announced it would seek to increase its OPEC oil output quota once production reaches 1.7 billion barrels per day, an attack on the French Embassy recalled…

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