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Geopolitics / Africa

The Big Winners in Kenya’s Oil Debut

Oct 17, 2013 at 17:09 | Simon Harlow

Kenya will start pumping its first commercial oil next year and begin exporting in 2016, but this is just the opening salvo: new discoveries in recent months and fast-track new…

Libyan Oil Production Struggles to Restart

Oct 17, 2013 at 17:05 | Global Risk Insights

Nearly a month after oilfield strikes cut Libya’s production to just 10% of capacity, the Zintan tribal militia has re-opened a critical pipeline, carrying oil from two major western…

China Hopes to Dominate Africa by Boosting Trade Via Indian Ocean

Oct 15, 2013 at 16:50 | Defense and Foreign Affairs

People’s Republic of China (PRC) officials are becoming increasingly apprehensive about the rise in the use of the westward corridor to export oil, diamonds, and rare minerals out of South…

Don’t Be Fooled by Libya—This is a Failed State

Oct 10, 2013 at 09:08 | James Stafford

Gunmen today seized Libyan Prime Minister Ali Zeidan from a hotel in central Tripoli, releasing him shortly afterwards, but making it clear that post-Gaddafi Libya is a failed state and…

Oil Seen as a Bridge to Peace between Sudan and South Sudan

Oct 09, 2013 at 17:23 | Geopolitical Monitor

Amidst the difficulties inherent to any transition of sovereignty involving the relinquishing of economically relevant territory, the leaders of the Republic of Sudan are showing investors and the international community…

Tunisia’s Islamist to Step Down as Crisis Narrowly Averted

Oct 04, 2013 at 16:53 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Tunisia’s ruling Ennahda party has agreed to hand over power to an independent transitional technocratic leadership after three weeks of talks with the secular opposition, in a crisis-breaking…

Is New York the Last Chance for a Deal between the US and Iran?

Oct 01, 2013 at 18:58 | Geopolitical Monitor

For those of us tracing the arc of the Obama presidency, one can’t help but get the feeling things are about to come full circle in terms of Iran. Recall…

Kenyan Security: Paying for Somalia

Sep 27, 2013 at 20:14 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Somalia-based al-Shabaab radical Islamist group has claimed responsibility for the 21 September attack on Nairobi’s Westgate mall. This indicates a further weakening of the group in Somalia and…

Egypt for Sale

Sep 11, 2013 at 20:04 | Felix Imonti

Three years has seen the overturn of two government, the deaths of thousands of people and the destruction of much of the Egyptian economy.  In the end, the mobs have…

Egypt Addresses Debt to Foreign Oil Companies

Sep 06, 2013 at 16:47 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Desperate for foreign oil companies to continue investing, Egypt is now trying to restructure $5.4 billion in debt it owes to them before it affects the $8.5 billion…

Ghana’s Supreme Court Upholds President Mahama

Sep 06, 2013 at 15:50 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Ghana investors breathe a sigh of relief as the Supreme Court upholds the December 2012 presidential election results and the verdict passes smoothly, with opposition criticism but with…

Libya: the Fundamental Feeding the Fear

Sep 03, 2013 at 17:33 | Rory Johnston

Oil prices are at a six-month high and no one knows exactly what is going to happen in Syria nor how it will ultimately affect oil prices in the coming…

Saudi Prince Bandar in Egypt

Aug 30, 2013 at 20:09 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: While Bandar may not have gotten everything he wanted in Syria—yet—in Egypt he has, so far.  Analysis: In July, the US ordered a review of aid…

Egypt's Decline Could be Trouble for Energy Investors

Aug 23, 2013 at 17:46 | Daniel J. Graeber

U.S.-based energy explorer Apache Corp. is one of the last holdouts in Egypt, which accounts for about 20 percent of its global oil and natural gas production. It says its…

Egypt Descends into Chaos in Wake of Coup against Morsi

Aug 23, 2013 at 17:31 | Chris Mansur

As Egypt’s shaky democratic transition remains beset by chaos, worsening economic conditions, military activism, and socio-ideological division, the country runs a real risk of implosion. Egypt’s Sinai remains an increasingly…

Ghana Prepares for 29 August

Aug 23, 2013 at 15:05 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Everyone is bracing for violence as the Supreme Court in Ghana officially announces 29 August as the date for the pronouncement of its final verdict for an opposition…

Egypt: Changing Geopolitical Hands

Aug 23, 2013 at 15:02 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: The coup in Egypt boils down to a change in power brokers from Qatar to Saudi Arabia, which is in line with the preferences of the US and…

Egypt, Take III: No End to the Carnage

Aug 16, 2013 at 18:30 | Charles Kennedy

The Egyptian military had a great opportunity to remake the revolution on 3 July when it overthrew the moribund and definitely failed post-revolutionary Muslim Brotherhood experiment—but it has squandered that…

Rush for Nile Water - Now Uganda Plans Massive Hydroelectric Site

Aug 16, 2013 at 18:11 | John Daly

In East Africa, the major water resource is the Nile river, the world’s longest, at 4,130 miles, referred to by Egypt since antiquity as the country’s heart.The past…

Tunisia: The Next Govt to Fall

Aug 16, 2013 at 17:46 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: The Islamist-led Ennahda government in Tunisia survived the first assassination of a political opposition leader in February, the 25 July assassination of a second opposition figure - Mohamed…

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