• 4 minutes Why Trump will win the wall fight
  • 7 minutes Tension On The Edge: Pakistan Urges U.N. To Intervene Over Kashmir Tension With India
  • 12 minutes Maduro Asks OPEC For Help Against U.S. Sanctions
  • 16 minutes Washington Eyes Crackdown On OPEC
  • 3 hours Climate Change: A Summer of Storms and Smog Is Coming
  • 52 mins Itt looks like natural gas may be at its lowest price ever.
  • 15 hours North Korea's Kim To Travel To Vietnam By Train, Summit At Government Guesthouse
  • 3 hours America’s Shale Boom Keeps Rolling Even as Wildcatters Save Cash
  • 17 hours Oil imports by countries
  • 21 hours NZ Oil, Gas Ban Could Cost $30 Bln
  • 17 hours AI Will Eliminate Call Center Jobs
  • 6 hours US-backed coup in Venezuela not so smooth
  • 23 hours Solar and Wind Will Not "Save" the Climate
  • 1 day Ayn Rand Was Right
  • 23 hours Indian Oil Signs First Annual Deal For U.S. OilIndian Oil Signs First Annual Deal For U.S. Oil
  • 8 hours Europe Adds Saudi Arabia to Dirty-Money Blacklist
Jim Hyerczyk

Jim Hyerczyk

Fundamental and technical analyst with 30 years experience.

More Info

Oil Market Forecast & Review 15th March 2013

Oversold conditions on the daily chart and a strengthening economy helped drive May crude oil futures higher last week. The move through $92.50 confirmed the previous week’s closing price reversal bottom at $89.78, setting up the market for an eventual rally into the target zone at $94.44 to $95.54.

Although the market has been showing strength over the last two weeks after a four-week sell-off, according to the latest Commitment of Traders report, crude oil remains in the strong hands of the commercial traders and these traders are on the short-side. The stats show that 51.4 percent of the market is controlled by the short commercial traders.

The data also shows that the number of long speculators dropped by 1246 contracts. In addition, 15.94 percent of the open interest is on the long-side with only 4.7 percent on the short-side. Until the short-sellers start to cover, rallies are likely to be sold.

The February jobs data helped boost crude oil prices. This is good news for the U.S. economy. Europe and the U.K. remain weak however, dragging down global demand. The stronger Greenback is also an issue since crude oil is priced in dollars. As long as the dollar remains strong, foreign demand is likely to be down, leading to rise in supply. This should be enough to keep the pressure on crude oil.

Technically, the upside momentum should be enough to take the market to at least $94.44 over the short-run. In addition, downtrending resistance…

To read the full article

Please sign up and become a premium OilPrice.com member to gain access to read the full article.

RegisterLogin



Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News