• 4 minutes What will the future hold for nations dependent on high oil prices.
  • 7 minutes Paris Is Burning Over Climate Change Taxes -- Is America Next?
  • 13 minutes Venezuela continues to sink in misery
  • 34 mins End of EV Subsidies?
  • 42 mins Maersk's COO statment.
  • 6 hours Trump accuses Google Of Hiding 'Fair Media' Coverage of him
  • 58 mins Citi cuts Apple's price target
  • 2 hours Asian stocks down
  • 6 hours OPEC Cuts Deep to Save Cartel
  • 1 hour Japan Effectively Bans China’s Huawei, ZTE From Government Contracts, Joining U.S
  • 6 hours China Builds LNG Icebreaker
  • 7 hours Price Decline in Chinese Solar Panels
  • 18 hours IT IS FINISHED. OPEC Victorious
  • 4 hours USGS Announces Largest Continuous Oil Assessment in Texas and New Mexico
  • 8 hours EPA To Roll Back Carbon Rule On New Coal Plants
  • 2 hours GOODBYE FOREIGN OIL DEPENDENCE!!
Jim Hyerczyk

Jim Hyerczyk

Fundamental and technical analyst with 30 years experience.

More Info

Oil Market Forecast & Review 22nd March 2013

May crude oil futures surged early last week, but the rally stalled when the market reached the lower level of our target zone at $94.44. The actual high was $94.47. This was a sign that technical traders were still in control.

Based on the longer-term range of $99.10 to $89.78, a retracement zone has formed at $94.44 to $95.54. The inability to break through this zone is a strong indication that sellers are still guiding the market. The short-term range at $89.78 to $94.47 has formed a retracement zone at $92.13 to $91.57. Since the attempt to rally failed, the market is likely to retrace back into support where buyers will have to decide to defend it, or let it go to lower levels.


Click to enlarge.

Additional support comes in at $92.78 while resistance moves down to $93.10. Due to conflicting fundamentals, the market may “ping-pong” in a range for a couple of weeks.

Some traders feel that the improving economy should increase demand for crude oil and are willing to support it on the breaks. Others feel, however that the strong U.S. Dollar and uncertainty over the global economy will keep inventories at high levels, and thus draw the attention of short-sellers.

The latest commitment of traders report shows that long speculators are leaving the market. At the same time, short speculators have been increasing their positions. The report also shows that while long commercial traders may have liquidated 9685 long positions, they…

To read the full article

Please sign up and become a premium OilPrice.com member to gain access to read the full article.

RegisterLogin

Trending Discussions




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News
-->