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Oil Should Stay In Triple Digits: Analyst

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana is a writer for Oilprice.com with over a decade of experience writing for news outlets such as iNVEZZ and SeeNews. 

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Oil Rebounds On Tight Global Energy Supply

Oil prices rose early on Tuesday, halting two consecutive days of losses as the global natural gas crunch has the market evaluating the potential of higher demand for other fuels in the upcoming winter season.

As of 9:53 a.m. EDT, WTI Crude was trading up 0.51% at $70.58. Brent Crude prices were rising by 0.47% at $74.28.

The surging natural gas prices in Europe just ahead of the winter heating season raise the potential for switching from gas to oil, analysts say.

“These higher gas prices should offer some support to the oil market, with the growing potential for gas to oil switching,” ING strategists Warren Patterson and Wenyu Yao said on Tuesday.

In addition, while most of the Gulf of Mexico oil production is now back online after Hurricane Ida, Shell said on Monday that its West Delta-143 (WD-143) offshore facilities had sustained “significant structural damage” from the storm.

Shell estimates that the WD-143 “A” platform facilities will be offline for repairs until the end of this year, and that the facilities on the WD-143 “C” platform will be operational in the fourth quarter of 2021. The supermajor expects to resume production from the Olympus platform, which flows across the WD-143 “C” platform, in Q4 2021, and from the Mars and Ursa facilities, which flow across the WD-143 “A” platform, in Q1 2022.

The slow return of some of Shell’s production in the Gulf of Mexico and the rising energy prices globally supported oil prices early on Tuesday, following a drop on Monday, driven by a stronger U.S. dollar and a broader market sell-off ahead of Fed’s policy meeting this week and amid concerns about China’s economy.

Oil prices bounced overnight, supported for now by “improved risk sentiment, and more importantly the global energy crunch currently unfolding in the natural gas market, a development that is likely to drive increased demand for fuel products as substitution,” Saxo Bank’s strategy team said in a note on Tuesday.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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  • George Doolittle on September 21 2021 said:
    Actually global demand is plunging as all of Asia implodes and Europe goes all in on "the hydrogen economy" plus pure battery electric vehicles. Canada is still a mess as is Mexico and all of Latin America which leaves only the USA as marginal demand despite already being a massive producer and exporter let alone an obvious consumer.

    My price target in the immediate term is on or about $50 us dollars a barrel at best as refined product starts to pour forth from all over the USA given the current absurdly high prices.

    I don't see the USA flying all that much anymore given the Tesla Effect as well...let alone using an ICE Platform as a Daily Driver.

    Gasoline consumption in the USA looks set to plunge *BIGLY.*

    Long US Treasuries
    Strong buy

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