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Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana is a writer for Oilprice.com with over a decade of experience writing for news outlets such as iNVEZZ and SeeNews. 

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Brent Crude Nears $85 As Global Energy Crisis Worsens

  • Brent crude nears $85 as the global energy crunch continues to worsen.
  • China’s coal and power crisis worsened over the weekend, after sixty coal mines in the country’s top coal-producing region were forced to shut amid heavy rain, flooding, and landslides.
  • The tighter coal and natural gas markets globally raise the outlook for gas-to-oil switch, which is set to boost oil demand.

Oil prices extended Friday’s rally into Monday, with the U.S. benchmark topping $81 and trading just shy of $82 a barrel as Europe and Asia continue to struggle to secure energy supply for the winter.

As of 8:21 a.m. EDT on Monday, the front-month WTI Crude contract traded at $81.75, up by 3.00%. The international benchmark, Brent Crude, was up 2.35% at $84.34.

Oil extended the rally from last week, which saw the U.S. benchmark topping the $80 per barrel for the first time since 2014.

China’s coal and power crisis worsened over the weekend, with coal futures in China closing at a new record high on Monday after sixty coal mines in the country’s top coal-producing region were forced to shut amid heavy rain, flooding, and landslides. The weather-related setbacks for Chinese coal production come at a time when the world’s second-largest economy is grappling with a shortage of coal supply and a power crisis, which threaten to slow economic growth.

Europe’s natural gas prices rose on Monday, after the softness seen at the end of last week, following forecasts of colder weather. Gas prices in the UK and at the Dutch TTF hub, the European gas price benchmark, were off the record highs from last week. Yet, the latest data from Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE), cited by ING, shows that gas storage sites across Europe are just over 76 percent full at the moment, compared to a five-year average of nearly 91 percent.

The tighter coal and natural gas markets globally raise the outlook for gas-to-oil switch, which is set to boost oil demand.

Crude oil “started the week on a strong footing as the global power crunch continues to raise expectations for higher gas-to-oil switching demand at a time where OPEC+ maintains its modest pace of oil monthly oil production increases,” Saxo Bank’s strategy team said in note on Monday.

“With WTI already trading at seven-year high, Brent may now target the 2018 high at $86.74,” the bank’s analysts added. 

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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  • Mamdouh Salameh on October 11 2021 said:
    Brent crude is benefiting immensely from a switching from natural gas-to-oil because of shortages of natural gas and prohibitive gas prices. The switching might have boosted global oil demand by an estimated 500,000-750,000 barrels a day (b/d). If this trend continues, we will see a further strengthening of the global oil demand with Brent crude hitting $85 a barrel any minute now and surging to $90 before the end of the year.

    Europe’s energy crisis could easily develop into a global one with fossil fuel prices reaching unprecedented highs. Were this to happen, the world could witness huge economic, geopolitical and strategic transformations.

    In such a situation, we will see a rise to more prominence and influence of the Chinese-Russian strategic alliance with the whole Asia-Pacific region under the thump of China and the EU under the thump of Russia.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Visiting Professor of Energy Economics at ESCP Europe Business School, London
  • Frank Barnton on October 15 2021 said:
    We will be at $150 by next summer. The industry has made a huge recovery.
  • George Doolittle on October 17 2021 said:
    Only the Persian Gulf and Japan ... and of course the biggest energy Super Power on Earth the United States...can afford even having oil at this US Dollar price in the first place.

    Long $tsla Tesla Motors
    Strong buy

    "Rains keep pouring into the Pacific Northwest, Montana, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas" plus unbelievably cool in these places for this time of Year.

    That makes for the perfect set up for an awesome amount of energy product to be made by the USA going into November and into "if we even have a Winter in the USA."

    Electricity prices in the USA might in fact start falling given a massive glut of electrons pouring in from Canada and Mexico at the moment and leaving aside USA specific production.

    Long $AEP American Electric Power
    Strong buy

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