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Irina Slav

Irina Slav

Irina is a writer for Oilprice.com with over a decade of experience writing on the oil and gas industry.

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Oil Prices Are On Track For A Third Consecutive Week Of Losses

  • Oil prices are on track to post another weekly loss as demand concerns continue to dominate the narrative.
  • Recession fears continue to be the main factor weighing on oil prices, although a strong dollar also made oil less affordable for buyers.
  • The EU embargo on Russian crude oil is set to come into effect in just three months and the fuels embargo in 5, both of which will push oil prices higher.

Crude oil is about to book its third consecutive week of losses despite several spikes as worry about demand remains stronger than worry about supply.

A strong dollar also pressured oil prices as it made the commodity less affordable for buyers in the dollar-dominated oil market.

At the time of writing, Brent crude was trading at $91.24 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate at $85.39 per barrel.

Recession fears, however, remain the biggest reason behind the downward trend. The World Bank on Thursday warned that the risk of a global recession had risen recently, noting the rush by central banks to raise interest rates. According to the WB, if the rate hikes were done too fast, this would push the global economy into a slowdown.

“Central banks around the world have been raising interest rates this year with a degree of synchronicity not seen over the past five decades — a trend that is likely to continue well into next year,” the World Bank said.

“Global growth is slowing sharply, with further slowing likely as more countries fall into recession. My deep concern is that these trends will persist, with long-lasting consequences that are devastating for people in emerging market and developing economies,” the WB’s president, David Malpass commented.

A recession would damage oil demand just as it would damage pretty much everything else as well, which would help tame inflation but at a very high cost. Alternatives, however, are scarce. The European Union has reiterated its dedication to sanctions on Russia, with an embargo on Russian crude set to come into effect in three months and an embargo on fuels coming into effect in five.

This is bound to affect prices for both crude and fuels, especially diesel as global diesel stocks are tighter than usual at the moment. Until the embargos come into effect, however, the downward pressure on prices will remain substantial, keeping a lid on benchmarks.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

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  • George Doolittle on September 16 2022 said:
    Normative for oil to be well bid on World War 3 realized but economies are plunging into recession excepting the USA which is being *slowed* by aggressive US Federal Reserve tightening.

    So far oil prices have held up very well as such considering as has Bitcoin. Same with natural gas. Even US coal prices are crazy elevated given context. Gluts appearing everywhere in all the things at the moment tho plus explosion in alternative energy goods both capital intensive (wind farm upgrades, pure BEV manufacture) and retail (lithium ion battery construct for mobile power portable, electric scooters etc.)

    Sure feels very deflationary in the USA at the moment anyways.

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