• 2 minutes CV19: New York 21% infection rate + 40% Existing T-Cell immunity = 61% = Herd Immunity ?
  • 4 minutes Is The Three Gorges Dam on the Brink of Collapse?
  • 7 minutes Sources confirm Trump to sign two new Executive orders.
  • 45 mins COVID is real now
  • 1 day Is the oil & gas industry on the way out?
  • 51 mins The Boris Yeltsin of America
  • 2 hours Is Biden the poster child for White Privilege ? DNC needs to replace him now before it's too late.
  • 6 hours Australian renewables zone attracts 27 GW of solar, wind, battery proposals
  • 2 days In a Nutshell...
  • 8 hours Why Oil could hit $100
  • 2 days Better Days Are (Not) Coming: Fed Officials Suggest U.S. Recovery May Be Stalling
  • 4 days Where is Alberta, Canada headed?

3rd Quarter Energy Market Review & 4th Quarter Forecast with Dan Dicker

What’s attempted in this quarterly review is to look over the individual energy markets, from both a cursory fundamental and financial outlook and try to understand where each of these markets have been and are likely to go.  From there, we can attempt to deliver some very generalized ideas on where some value might lie, both in the energy markets themselves and in the underlying equities that rely upon them.  We won’t attempt to make specific recommendations or deliver target prices in this paper, instead hoping that it will open the door to further investigation towards specific stocks and futures trade ideas. 

Crude oil

The most short term view of global crude oil would lend one to believe that prices are far overstretched:  European recession, US slow growth patterns and a shocking drop in Chinese GDP growth projections have combined to drop demand of crude oil, or at least slow the growth of oil demand globally, all while the production of new supplies of crude have continued to advance largely due to new technologies in oil sands, deep water drilling and oil shale.  This is no more evident than in the US, where the West Texas Intermediate benchmark for crude price has maintained a near $20 a barrel discount to the European (and mostly global) Brent North Sea price for most of the last two years. 

But financial markets have outguessed the fundamentals, investing in crude oil through indexes, ETF’s and…




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News