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Nawar Alsaadi

Semper Augustus Capital

Contributor since: 25 Feb 2016

Nawar Alsaadi

Nawar Alsaadi is a principal at Semper Augustus Capital, a private investment firm with a special focus on the energy sector. He is also a contributor to the financial press and the author of "The Bull of Heaven." He currently resides in Toronto, Canada. 

Latest articles from Nawar

  • Permian Slowdown Could Start In 2020

    Published 11 August 2019 | viewed 44,150 times

    The Permian basin has been by far the largest source of production growth in the US as the field oil production grew from 1.2M barrels…

  • The Bullish EIA Message Markets Have Overlooked

    Published 07 August 2019 | viewed 12,784 times

    Demand growth fears have had a detrimental impact on crude prices over the last couple of days, with Brent dipping firmly under $60 a barrel…

  • Will We Really See An Oil Glut In 2020?

    Published 29 July 2019 | viewed 28,436 times

    There has been much talk lately about a potential oil glut in 2020, most notably by the IEA in their latest monthly oil report, but…

  • An Unexpected Boon For Alberta’s Oil Producers

    Published 14 July 2019 | viewed 32,924 times

    Alberta light oil producers have been decimated over the last few years, and especially so in the last nine months following the “blow up” in…

  • Why OPEC+ Will Outlive Shale

    Published 07 July 2019 | viewed 21,601 times

      A form of cognitive dissonance seems to be taking over oil market watchers, a sort of a blind belief that US shale oil production…

  • The Dark Outlook For Non-OPEC Oil

    Published 30 June 2019 | viewed 46,692 times

    The period from 2010 to 2014 witnessed the highest sustained oil price environment in recent memory, with Brent averaging $110 a barrel and WTI $95…

  • Fifty Shades Of Shale Oil

    Published 12 February 2019 | viewed 27,732 times

    The rise of U.S. tight oil production over the last several years has upended the oil market and challenged OPEC’s hold on oil prices. This…

  • The New Oil Order

    Published 01 January 2019 | viewed 45,008 times

    In the decades preceding the arrival of U.S. shale oil, the oil market had only one stabilizing force, namely OPEC. The reason the oil market…

  • Is An Iraqi Production Slowdown Inevitable?

    Published 03 April 2017 | viewed 23,064 times

    A tremendous amount of digital, and real, ink has been spilled on the ongoing oil crash, much of it has been focused on U.S. shale…

  • The Oil Market Is At A Major Turning Point

    Published 19 March 2017 | viewed 63,470 times

    Often the most important turning points in markets, and in this case the oil market, happen with a whimper rather than a bang. The ongoing…

  • The EV Myth – Electric Car Threat To Oil Is Wildly Overstated

    Published 02 March 2017 | viewed 56,399 times

    At the outset of the 2014 oil collapse, slacking oil demand growth was often cited as a major contributor to the sharp decline in oil…

  • Why Oil Booms And Busts Happen

    Published 25 February 2016 | viewed 25,464 times

    What if I told you that there was a period in history where oil demand declined by 5 million barrels per day and non-OPEC supply…

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