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Alleged Iran-Linked Telegram Post Simulates Attack On Saudi Oil

  • An Iran state-linked Telegram channel has posted a video purportedly showing a simulated attack on Saudi Arabia.
  • On Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal reported that Saudi Arabia had shared intelligence with Washington warning of an imminent attack from Iran against the Kingdom.
  • Three years ago, Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis launched a drone attack on Aramco oil facilities in Eastern Saudi Arabia, cutting Saudi oil production in half and taking off a good 5% of global supply off the market.

An article published on the blog of international Arabic news television channel Al Arabiya on Thursday claims that an Iran state-linked Telegram channel has posted a video purportedly showing a simulated attack on Saudi Arabia

Al Arabiya says the video was posted by an IRGC-affiliated Telegram channel with over 350,000 subscribers, and shows a simulated drone attack against Saudi Arabia national oil company, Saudi Aramco’s, oil facilities.

On Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal reported that Saudi Arabia had shared intelligence with Washington warning of an imminent attack from Iran against the Kingdom. Iran has rubbished these claims, terming reports of Iranian threats against Saudi Arabia as “baseless accusations.

If true, the alleged imminent attacks have a recent precedent. 

Three years ago, Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis launched a drone attack on Aramco oil facilities in Eastern Saudi Arabia, cutting Saudi oil production in half and taking off a good 5% of global supply off the market. The claims add a fresh twist to the Russian war on Ukraine considering that Russia has been using Iranian drones in Ukraine. Just a day ago, CNN reported that Iran is getting ready to send ~1,000 additional weapons, including more attack drones and surface-to-surface short range ballistic missiles, to Russia.

The new alleged intelligence of a potential Iranian attack on Saudi oil facilities comes as the U.S. is in the middle of a heated debate about defense provisions for Saudi Arabia. Earlier in October, Democrats were calling for the suspension of transfers of Patriot missiles to Saudi Arabia, as relations continued to sour. 

Shortly afterwards, U.S. President Joe Biden condemned the decision by OPEC+ to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day, lambasting Saudi Arabia and the cartel for taking sides with Russia. Biden vowed to “consult with Congress” on ways to “reduce OPEC’s control over energy prices,” bringing the specter of  the NOPEC bill, once again, to the forefront.

By Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com

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  • Mamdouh Salameh on November 03 2022 said:
    Something doesn’t add up in the claim that Iran has plans to attack Saudi Arabia. I can easily detect the hand of the CIA in it.

    Why would Iran want to attack Saudi Arabia particularly at a time when Saudi Arabia has been distancing itself from the United States in recent times and also when both Iran and Saudi Arabia are in contact to establish some sort of a rapprochement between them.

    There is, however, the possibility that such a claim may have been made by US weapon manufacturers to influence the Biden administration to sell weapons to Saudi Arabia at a time when it is in the middle of a heated debate about defence provisions for Saudi Arabia. Alternatively, it could be a claim made by the Biden administration itself aimed at mending fences with Saudi Arabia and assuring it that the US will come to its defence in case of an Iranian attack.

    Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman no longer believes in the United States’ promises of defending Saudi Arabia. He only knows that the US never came to his country’s defence when the Houthies of Yemen, Iran’s allies, attacked and damaged the Saudi Abquiq pumping station in September 2019 destroying 50% of Saudi oil production or 5.0 million barrels a day (mbd). At that very day the 1945 oil-for-protection agreement between the US and Saudi Arabia died.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Global Energy Expert

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