• 3 minutes Nucelar Deal Is Dead? Iran Distances Itself Further From ND, Alarming Russia And France
  • 5 minutes Don Jr. Tweets name Ukraine Whistleblower, Eric Ciaramella. Worked for CIA during Obama Administration, Hold over to Trump National Security Counsel under Gen McCallister, more . . . .
  • 9 minutes Shale pioneer Chesepeak will file bankruptcy soon. FINALLY ! The consolidation begins
  • 12 minutes China's Blueprint For Global Power
  • 13 mins The lies and follies of the "cry wolf" enviros: No more fire in the kitchen: Cities are banning natural gas in homes to save the planet
  • 4 hours China Burns More Coal than the Rest of the World !
  • 52 mins Iran Finds New Oil Field With Over 50 Billion Barrels: Rouhani
  • 4 hours "Climate Migrants"
  • 29 mins CHK Trading @ 90 Cents
  • 6 hours New York State Taxpayers Lose 900 Million to Tesla
  • 3 hours Does Brazil Auction Flop Forbode the Outcome of the Saudi Aramco IPO ?
  • 3 hours China's Renewables Boom Hits the Wall
  • 22 hours Water, Trump, and Israel’s National Security
  • 11 hours Giant Windmills Wildly Unpopular
  • 24 hours The End For Deutsche Bank and the European Union?

Global Energy Advisory - 19th September 2014

Geopolitical & Conflict Updates

Central Asia

We are closely watching the spillover effect of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, as Central Asian states become more disillusioned with Moscow. Russia is also provoking discontent in Central Asia by making vague references to Kazakhstan’s statehood that have not been well-received, while Uzbekistan now has more justification for its long-running skepticism of Moscow’s intentions. We expect continued provocations by Moscow and moves by Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan to assert their administrations’ control over foreign policy.

Iraq

Reports are emerging that the Islamic State (IS) was earning around $3 million per day in July from oil sales related to 11 oil fields now under its control in Iraq and Syria. Oil is reportedly being sold to Turkey, Iraq and Jordan at $25-$60 per barrel—a minimum of $40 less than world oil prices. However, we do not expect IS to be able to maintain this black market oil business indefinitely. IS is losing control over these assets from a logistics standpoint, particularly as workers are fleeing the scene. Over the past couple of months, IS revenues have dwindled to half that, according to some estimates.

Libya

Producuction has been halted at Libya’s Sharara field—the largest producer—after a rocket attack on the connected Zawiya refinery on 15 September. This represents a 30% cut in production overall for Libya. Sharara…




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News