• 3 minutes Natural gas is crushing wind and solar power
  • 7 minutes OPEC and Russia could discuss emergency cuts
  • 11 minutes Is Pete Buttigieg emerging as the most likely challenger to Trump?
  • 2 hours So the west is winning, is it? Only if you’re a delusional Trump toady, Mr Pompeo, by Simon Tisdall
  • 2 hours Fight with American ignorance, Part 1: US is a Republic, it is not a Democracy
  • 6 mins Blowout videos
  • 15 hours Question: Why are oil futures so low through 2020?
  • 35 mins Don't sneeze. Coronavirus is a threat to oil markets and global economies
  • 5 hours CDC covid19 coverup?
  • 7 hours Charts of COVID-19 Fatality Rate by Age and Sex
  • 1 hour The Arithmetic Of Fracking
  • 15 hours Shorting Gold
  • 6 hours “The era of cheap & abundant energy is long gone. Money supply & debt have grown faster than real economy. Debt saturation is now a real risk, requiring a global scale reset.”"We are now in new era of expensive unconventional energy
  • 1 day Peak Shale Will Send Oil Prices Sky High
  • 1 day Phase One trade deal, for China it is all about technology war
  • 2 days Step Forward: Trump Says U.S.-China Trade Deal Will Be Signed On January 15

SOMALIA: This New Frontier Isn’t Ready for Oil

Bottom Line: Somalia plans to sign 30 PSCs this year with foreign oil companies and auction off over 300 new oil blocks, but oil rights here are not solidified and this will be another bloody mess.

Analysis: Late last year, Somalia announced it would auction off 308 oil blocks, newly delineated. This has caused a bit of rush on Somalia, from the juniors to the supermajors, like Royal Dutch Shell and ConocoPhillips.

This pending rush on Somalia is premature. The country’s new government is transitional and dysfunctional at best, and by no means does it control the country—the militant al-Shabaab has been weakened, but certainly not driven out and still controls some key areas. Somalia’s coast is also a major piracy venue. It will be impossible to determine the power brokers here to land contracts, especially for the juniors. A multitude of influential tribes and militias are trying to gain control over oil prospects and dealing with the new government is only a small part of the equation. The power brokers are shifting and the dynamism is impossible to keep up with. It is difficult for a government to delineate new oil blocks on territory it does not fully control. The arrival of foreign oil companies will speed up territorial conflict over oil.

Somalia’s premature oil ambitions will also see it butt heads with Kenya over disputed offshore blocks. Kenya has the upper hand here, and it’s already licensed blocks in this…




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News