• 3 minutes China's aggression is changing the nature of sovereignty.
  • 8 minutes Will Variants and Ill-Health Continue to Plague Economic Outlooks?
  • 9 minutes US oil facts
  • 3 hours GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES
  • 1 day Europe gas market -how it started how its going
  • 2 hours Amazing!...see article: "Turkmenistan To Close "Gates Of Hell" Gas Fire" by Irina Slav
  • 2 days Russia oil production live month after month starting from November 2021 - official stats from Rosstat agency
  • 2 days Is $100 Crude Bad For US Shale? That's what Oil CEOs Say
  • 17 hours Ukrainian Maidan after 8 years
  • 2 days Nuclear power in Russia
Jim Hyerczyk

Jim Hyerczyk

Fundamental and technical analyst with 30 years experience.

More Info

Oil Market Forecast & Review 7th June 2013

July crude oil surged last week after finding support slightly below a 50% price level at $91.26. The powerful move to the upside has put the market within striking distance of a downtrend line at $97.13. A move through this level will put the market on the bullish side of a triangle chart pattern that has been holding the market range bound for almost a year.

Besides the downtrend line, three tops at $97.38, $98.22 and $99.77 have proven to be formidable resistance. Sustained moves through these levels will indicate a serious shift in investor sentiment. If speculators believe the oversupply situation move is overblown then look for them to take the market higher since it is generally accepted among chart watchers that the “technicals precede the fundamentals. “

Another failure in the upper level of the triangle formation will mean the formation of another lower-top. This would suggest another break back to the retracement zone at $91.77 to $90.45. A failure to hold this zone would mean a test of the uptrending support line at $87.03 this week.

Conventional chart pattern analysis has identified the triangle chart pattern as a non-trending pattern. However, this chart pattern has been known to predict impending volatility. Therefore, investors should watch for a potential breakout over $97.13 this week with increased volatility accompanied by rising volume.

Fundamentally, speculators could’ve asked for better conditions for…




EXXON Mobil -0.35
Open57.81 Trading Vol.6.96M Previous Vol.241.7B
BUY 57.15
Sell 57.00
Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News