• 40 mins Iraq’s Giant Majnoon Oilfield Attracts Attention Of Supermajors
  • 3 hours South Iraq Oil Exports Close To Record High To Offset Kirkuk Drop
  • 6 hours Iraqi Forces Find Mass Graves In Oil Wells Near Kirkuk
  • 6 hours Chevron Joint Venture Signs $1.7B Oil, Gas Deal In Nigeria
  • 7 hours Iraq Steps In To Offset Falling Venezuela Oil Production
  • 10 hours ConocoPhillips Sets Price Ceiling For New Projects
  • 3 days Shell Oil Trading Head Steps Down After 29 Years
  • 3 days Higher Oil Prices Reduce North American Oil Bankruptcies
  • 3 days Statoil To Boost Exploration Drilling Offshore Norway In 2018
  • 3 days $1.6 Billion Canadian-US Hydropower Project Approved
  • 3 days Venezuela Officially In Default
  • 3 days Iran Prepares To Export LNG To Boost Trade Relations
  • 3 days Keystone Pipeline Leaks 5,000 Barrels Into Farmland
  • 4 days Saudi Oil Minister: Markets Will Not Rebalance By March
  • 4 days Obscure Dutch Firm Wins Venezuelan Oil Block As Debt Tensions Mount
  • 4 days Rosneft Announces Completion Of World’s Longest Well
  • 4 days Ecuador Won’t Ask Exemption From OPEC Oil Production Cuts
  • 4 days Norway’s $1 Trillion Wealth Fund Proposes To Ditch Oil Stocks
  • 4 days Ecuador Seeks To Clear Schlumberger Debt By End-November
  • 4 days Santos Admits It Rejected $7.2B Takeover Bid
  • 5 days U.S. Senate Panel Votes To Open Alaskan Refuge To Drilling
  • 5 days Africa’s Richest Woman Fired From Sonangol
  • 5 days Oil And Gas M&A Deal Appetite Highest Since 2013
  • 5 days Russian Hackers Target British Energy Industry
  • 5 days Venezuela Signs $3.15B Debt Restructuring Deal With Russia
  • 5 days DOJ: Protestors Interfering With Pipeline Construction Will Be Prosecuted
  • 5 days Lower Oil Prices Benefit European Refiners
  • 5 days World’s Biggest Private Equity Firm Raises $1 Billion To Invest In Oil
  • 6 days Oil Prices Tank After API Reports Strong Build In Crude Inventories
  • 6 days Iraq Oil Revenue Not Enough For Sustainable Development
  • 6 days Sudan In Talks With Foreign Oil Firms To Boost Crude Production
  • 6 days Shell: Four Oil Platforms Shut In Gulf Of Mexico After Fire
  • 6 days OPEC To Recruit New Members To Fight Market Imbalance
  • 6 days Green Groups Want Norway’s Arctic Oil Drilling Licenses Canceled
  • 7 days Venezuelan Oil Output Drops To Lowest In 28 Years
  • 7 days Shale Production Rises By 80,000 BPD In Latest EIA Forecasts
  • 7 days GE Considers Selling Baker Hughes Assets
  • 7 days Eni To Address Barents Sea Regulatory Breaches By Dec 11
  • 7 days Saudi Aramco To Invest $300 Billion In Upstream Projects
  • 7 days Aramco To List Shares In Hong Kong ‘For Sure’
Alt Text

Can Oil Prices Hit $65 This Week?

Crude prices climbed quickly as…

Alt Text

Why Oil Prices Will Keep Moving Up

With oil smashing through two-year…

Why Oil Prices Aren’t Dropping

Why Oil Prices Aren’t Dropping

I saw a humorous story a few days ago: Oil Should Be Around $10 a Barrel

The price of a barrel of oil would be closer to $10 if the commodity wasn’t traded as an investment instrument, given the record-high levels of U.S. oil inventories, Peter Beutel, president of Cameron Hanover, told CNBC Monday.

“I honestly think that if there were no investors using oil as an asset that the price of oil right now would be $10 or $15 or $18, but it wouldn’t be anywhere near where it is,” Beutel said.

First off, the cost of production for most producers is significantly higher than that. The easy, cheap oil is gone. That’s why we are drilling a mile deep for oil in the Gulf of Mexico. But the other reason that oil prices aren’t going down soon is because demand has been recovering. Courtesy of the EIA:

US Petroleum Demand
U.S. Petroleum Demand

That shows that petroleum demand has been steadily climbing for a year, and has recovered to levels last seen two years ago.

This one shows a similar story for imports, albeit with an even steeper rate of increase:

Crude Oil and Petroleum Production
Crude Oil Imports

It is hard to imagine oil prices softening with demand again rising, much less trading at $10/bbl. This is why I am not optimistic for an imminent recovery from the recession. Oil prices are at $75, and demand is rising. And we know what happens to oil prices as demand continues to climb…

By. Robert rapier

Source: R Squared Energy Blog




Back to homepage


Leave a comment
  • Anonymous on September 13 2010 said:
    Robert, the idea of oil selling for ten dollars is not stupic or ignorant, but pathetic. No logic reaches someone who writes something like that, nor the persons who buy it.
  • Anonymous on September 13 2010 said:
    oil has both real and psychological value. dollars now are just paper. no one of producers can stand 10 dollar a barrel.
  • Anonymous on September 13 2010 said:
    Oil should be around $40-$50/bbl; or approximately 10x-12x of HHgas. Presume that gas is always in perfect balance and, regardless of conventional thought, really does compete with oil via global economics [manufacturing... firing boilers, ethylene, etc).J

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News