• 4 minutes Energy Armageddon
  • 6 minutes "How to Calculate Your Individual ESG Score to ensure that your Digital ID 'benefits' and money are accessible"
  • 12 minutes "Europe’s Energy Crisis Has Ended Its Era Of Abundance" by Irina Slav
  • 6 hours GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES
  • 3 days Is Europe heading for winter of discontent with extensive gas shortages?
  • 1 day Wind droughts
  • 4 days "Natural Gas Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – Grinding Toward Summer Highs Despite Huge Short Interest" by James Hyerczyk & REUTERS on NatGas
  • 2 days Kazakhstan Is Defying Russia and Has the Support of China. China is Using Russia's Weakness to Expand Its Own Influence.
  • 2 days Oil Prices Fall After Fed Raises Rates
  • 12 days How Far Have We Really Gotten With Alternative Energy
  • 4 days Oil Stocks, Market Direction, Bitcoin, Minerals, Gold, Silver - Technical Trading <--- Chris Vermeulen & Gareth Soloway weigh in
  • 10 days "Russian oil executive and Putin critic Ravil Maganov dead after mysterious six-story fall" - The New York Post
  • 2 days 87,000 new IRS agents, higher taxes, and a massive green energy slush fund... "Here Are The Winners And Losers In The 'Inflation Reduction Act'"-ZeroHedge
  • 7 days Beware the Left's 'Degrowth' Movement (i.e. why Covid-19 is Good)
  • 10 days The Federal Reserve and Money...Aspects which are not widely known
Martin Tillier

Martin Tillier

More Info

WTI Is Still Ranging And On The Turn

A couple of weeks ago I opined in these very pages that WTI was essentially trading in a range created by sensitivity to its own price. The theory was that somewhere around the $51 level seemed to be pivotal, with production increasing above that point and decreasing below it. The natural tendency of markets to overshoot means that the range created extends several dollars either side of that point and the tendency of traders to place orders just inside a range means that it will narrow over time. That would give us a bottom somewhere around the $48-49 level. It is still really too early for a big old “I told you so”, but the price action in crude futures over the last couple of days definitely supports that theory.

(Click to enlarge)

After a rapid climb, increased U.S. production and talk of problems with some OPEC members’ resolve to stick the current schedule of cuts, let alone actually expand them, caused a rapid selloff. As usual that brought out the exaggerators. One particular “analyst” from a major Wall Street firm was all over the media predicting that WTI was going to $20 a barrel on the move down. One assumes that he was in need of attention, because he was totally ignoring the pricing dynamic around $51 and the trading reaction to it.

What has actually happened over the last couple of days is that futures got below $49 and then this week’s inventory numbers showed a much larger than expected draw on…




EXXON Mobil -0.35
Open57.81 Trading Vol.6.96M Previous Vol.241.7B
BUY 57.15
Sell 57.00
Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News