• 6 minutes WTI @ 67.50, charts show $62.50 next
  • 11 minutes Saudi Fund Wants to Take Tesla Private?
  • 17 minutes Starvation, horror in Venezuela
  • 1 hour Desperate Call or... Erdogan Says Turkey Will Boycott U.S. Electronics
  • 2 hours The EU Loses The Principles On Which It Was Built
  • 37 mins Crude Price going to $62.50
  • 6 hours Anyone Worried About the Lira Dragging EVERYTHING Else Down?
  • 10 hours Oil prices---Tug of War: Sanctions vs. Trade War
  • 11 hours Correlation does not equal causation, but they do tend to tango on occasion
  • 11 hours Russia retaliate: Our Response to U.S. Sanctions Will Be Precise And Painful
  • 6 hours Why hydrogen economics is does not work
  • 13 hours Monsanto hit by $289 Million for cancerous weedkiller
  • 19 hours WTI @ 69.33 headed for $70s - $80s end of August
  • 19 hours WSJ *still* refuses to acknowledge U.S. Shale Oil industry's horrible economics and debts
  • 17 hours Saudi Aramco IPO Seems Unlikely
  • 3 hours < sigh > $90 Oil Is A Very Real Possibility
Alt Text

The Oil Bulls Are Back

Oil markets had a bullish…

Alt Text

The Winners And Losers This Earnings Season

Despite a general improvement in…

Alt Text

Goldman: Trade War Won't Crash Oil Prices

In spite of the impact…

Martin Tillier

Martin Tillier

More Info

Trending Discussions

Dollar Strength Is Likely To Cap Oil Price Gains

Tanker

This morning, my old stomping ground of forex is making a rare appearance in the news. The problems in Turkey and the actions of the Erdogan regime caused the dollar index to spike overnight, which in turn drew attention to dollar strength that has been building for some time. Very few have been talking about it to this point, but the fact that the U.S. currency is at levels not seen for over a year is now becoming a subject of interest. That is probably overdue, but does it really mean anything for energy investors, or more specifically for the price of oil?

“The strength of the dollar influences the price of oil” is a sentence that to my mind should be an obvious statement of fact, yet a lot of people doubt it these days. The doubters, however get it wrong on two fronts.

First, they tend to misinterpret the statement above. I do not maintain that dollar strength is the only influence on the price of oil, nor even that it is the biggest, simply that it is one. Pointing to the lack of inverse correlation between the charts below, as those doubters often do, is therefore irrelevant. At different times, different things become the major influence on oil. It could be growth projections and their potential effect on demand, or OPEC squabbles and their potential effect on supply, for example. In reality of course, all those factors, and a whole host of others, are always simultaneously affecting price. When I say that “The strength of the dollar influences…

To read the full article

Please sign up and become a premium OilPrice.com member to gain access to read the full article.

RegisterLogin

Trending Discussions





Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News