follow us like us subscribe contact us
Loading, please wait

Seismic Shift in Iraq, Seismic Energy Impact

By Editorial Dept | Thu, 10 January 2013 20:16 | 0

The struggle for control of Northern Iraq’s oil and gas and a looming Kurdish bid for independence will be the most visible energy-impacting conflict of 2013. 

The juniors were the first to tap into Iraqi Kurdistan’s oil and gas largesse. Now the majors are following suit, risking a sizable prize in central and southern Iraq to do so. But we have to pay attention here to the potential this risk has to foster a major geopolitical change that is not likely to go down without a bloody conflict—and hence, without some significant upset to the industry.

To put it in simple mathematical terms: Oil = Kurdish independence.

And what, exactly, does Kurdish independence equal? An Iraq carved up into a central and southern territory nominally controlled by Iran and a northern Iraq nominally influenced by Turkey, the US and the Sunni Gulf states.

So what we’re creating here by rushing in to take advantage of Iraqi Kurdish hydrocarbons is a bulwark against Iran that may very well include Syria--depending on how Syria’s 3 million Kurds decide to play this game, which is anyone’s guess.

Risk vs Prize

The oil majors and juniors are not even blinking--despite the risks of their Northern Iraq endeavors. Even as tensions mount in places like Kirkuk, and Iraqi military troops line up against Kurdish security forces, no one is backing down. Exploration, production and export continue unabated, and plans for…

To read the rest of this article Start a FREE subscription to our premium publication

Oil & Energy Insider - 30 day Free trial

30 day Free trial
A FREE Subscription Includes:
  • Investment advice normally reserved for hedge fund clients.
  • Market & sector research not available anywhere else.
  • Strategic advice from corporate & military intelligence analysts.
  • 9 Weekly Investment / intelligence reports.
  • Full access to all previous reports.
  • 30 days free trial.
Get FREE access to our research for 30 days

An essential resource for all investors in the energy sector whether you're a trader, fund manager or individual investor - this inside look at the energy markets is unlike any other report or service currently available.

About the author

More recent articles by Editorial Dept

Fri 25 July 2014
One Bright Spot In Utilities
Fri 25 July 2014
The Shale Revolutions Next Winner: The Permian Basin
Fri 25 July 2014
Global Energy Advisory July 25th 2014
Fri 25 July 2014
Are we About to See a Buying Opportunity in Oil
Fri 18 July 2014
Too Many Coincidences