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Oil Market Tightens But COVID-19 Could Spoil The Rally

Oil Market Tightens But COVID-19 Could Spoil The Rally

The IEA’s latest report suggests…

Tighter Oil Market Could Trigger Supply Surge

Tighter Oil Market Could Trigger Supply Surge

OPEC+ is expected to ease…

Second Surprise Crude Oil Draw Sends Prices Higher

The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a surprise draw in crude oil inventory of 2.133 million barrels for the week ending March 15, coming in under analyst expectations of a 309,000-barrel build. This is the second week in a row for a surprise draw.

Last week, the API reported a large surprise draw in crude oil of 2.6 million barrels. A day later, the EIA reported a similar figure, estimating that crude inventories had drawn down by 3.9 million barrels

Including this week’s data, the net draw is 1.5 million barrels for the eleven reporting periods so far this year, using API data.

(Click to enlarge)

WTI was trading down slightly on Tuesday hours before the data release at $59.22, down $0.16 (-0.27%) at 1:59pm. Its counterpart, the Brent benchmark, was trading at $67.57, up $0.03 (+0.04%)  at that time, with prices near yesterday’s levels as the market continues to assess with inconsistent outcomes OPEC members’ dutiful adherence to its promised production cuts, Venezuela’s falling oil exports, Iran’s precarious sanction situation, the ongoing trade row with China, and differing analyst opinions on the demand growth outlook in the near future.

Still, oil prices are near four-month highs, and WTI is up over $2 per barrel week on week. Brent is trading at $1 per barrel over last week levels.

Related: Gas Mergers Could Pressure Prices In Europe

The API this week reported draw in gasoline inventories for week ending March 15 in the amount of 2.794 million barrels. Analysts estimated a draw in gasoline inventories of 2.125 million barrels for the week.

US crude oil production as estimated by the Energy Information Administration showed that production for the week ending March 8—the latest information available—dipped slightly to an average of 12.0 million barrels per day after two weeks at an all-time high of 12.1 million bpd.

Distillate inventories decreased by 1.607 million barrels, compared to an expected draw of 1.3 million barrels for the week.

Crude oil inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma facility fell by 317,000 barrels for the week.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration report on crude oil inventories is due to be released on Wednesday at 10:30a.m. EST.

By 4:39pm EST, WTI was trading down at $59.15 and Brent was trading down at $67.51.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • Jim Miceli on March 20 2019 said:
    It is inevitable that (WTI) as I have made clear reaching 59.-- per Barrel. My forecast reaches 62.-- out to 64.-- in the near term. Thing is , the Markets are not inclined to increase certain (ETFs' like (GUSH) which is seen as dormant in this mixed bag of nuts. This is concerning to those who invest in 3X Bull. Natural Gas should also be trading in the middle 3.-- out to 4.--. Gold on the other hand is pretty much stable though should be somewhere in the area of 1320.-- given the
    fluctuation in the Dollar Index , Gold should overlook this as it amounts to pennies.

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