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Global Warming To Exceed 2 Degrees Celsius Limit By 2050: Exxon

The world is not on track to stop temperatures from rising by more than 2C by 2050, Exxon Mobil said on Monday in its Global Outlook, which also called for increased investments in oil and gas.

According to Exxon’s latest report, the world’s climate goals are in jeopardy as the world stares down more people, more prosperity, and more energy by 2050. And while emissions will decline as a low-carbon solutions continue to be developed, reaching net-zero emissions will prove impossible unless new emissions policies and technologies are developed, along with the establishment of market-driven mechanisms.

“The world may be different then, but the need to provide the reliable, affordable energy that drives economic prosperity and better living standards, while reducing greenhouse gas emissions, will remain just as critical as it is today,” Exxon said in its latest report as it went on to explain that energy use and economic development were inseparable and that energy poverty brings poverty.

According to Exxon, all energy types will be needed in order to raise living standards and reduce emissions. Exxon’s Global Outlook projects that the biggest change in the energy mix between now and 2050 will be significant increases in wind and solar power, while reducing coal power.

“Energy from solar and wind is projected to more than quintuple, from 2% of the world’s supply to 11%. Coal will increasingly be displaced by lower-emission sources of electricity production – not just renewables but also natural gas, which has about half the carbon intensity of coal. Overall, electricity use grows 80% by 2050,” the Global Outlook reads.

Still, oil and gas will continue to make up more than half of the world’s energy supply, even by 2050. “Given that oil and natural gas are projected to remain a critical component of a global energy system through 2050, sustained investments are essential to offset depletion as production naturally declines by 5-7% per year.”

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • Mamdouh Salameh on August 28 2023 said:
    ExxonMobil’s global outlook is realistic and blunt enough to confound environmental claims about climate change goals, energy transition and net-zero emissions.

    The core of the report is that with world population projected to rise from 8.0 billion today to 9.7 billion by 2050 and the global economy projected to grow from $174 trillion currently based on purchasing power parity (PPP) to $245 trillion by 2050, the goals of net-zero emissions by 2050 and stopping temperature from rising beyond 2C by 2050 won’t be achievable.

    And while solar and wind energy will increase their share of global energy significantly, oil and natural gas will continue to be the dominant energy sources, even by 2050.

    Given that oil and natural gas are projected to remain a critical component of a global energy system through 2050, sustained investments are essential to offset depletion as production naturally declines by 5-7% per year.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Global Energy Expert

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