• 5 minutes Mike Shellman's musings on "Cartoon of the Week"
  • 11 minutes Permian already crested the productivity bell curve - downward now to Tier 2 geological locations
  • 17 minutes WTI @ 67.50, charts show $62.50 next
  • 9 hours The Discount Airline Model Is Coming for Europe’s Railways
  • 15 hours Pakistan: "Heart" Of Terrorism and Global Threat
  • 2 hours Desperate Call or... Erdogan Says Turkey Will Boycott U.S. Electronics
  • 2 hours Venezuela set to raise gasoline prices to international levels.
  • 14 hours Saudi Fund Wants to Take Tesla Private?
  • 1 day Batteries Could Be a Small Dotcom-Style Bubble
  • 1 day Starvation, horror in Venezuela
  • 1 day Newspaper Editorials Across U.S. Rebuke Trump For Attacks On Press
  • 1 day Don't Expect Too Much: Despite a Soaring Economy, America's Annual Pay Increase Isn't Budging
  • 38 mins Renewable Energy Could "Effectively Be Free" by 2030
  • 7 hours Corporations Are Buying More Renewables Than Ever
  • 1 hour Are Trump's steel tariffs working? Seems they are!
  • 16 hours Scottish Battery ‘Breakthrough’ Could Charge Electric Cars In Seconds
Alt Text

Oil Prices Jump As Saudis Cap Oil Supply

Oil prices rose on Tuesday…

Alt Text

Iran’s Latest Tactic To Save Market Share

Iran cut oil prices for…

Alt Text

Turkey Turmoil Drags Oil Down

While Turkey might not be…

Ag Metal Miner

Ag Metal Miner

MetalMiner is the largest metals-related media site in the US according to third party ranking sites. With a preemptive global perspective on the issues, trends,…

More Info

Trending Discussions

Why Oil Prices Can’t Gain Traction

Oil

Despite U.S. oil stocks falling 7.6 million barrels, the biggest drop since September, a recent Financial Times article reports, quoting U.S. Energy Information Administration data, that the oil price is struggling to get back to $48 per barrel, let alone the heady heights above $50 it achieved in May.

U.S. refineries are running flat out to meet summer demand, drawing down on U.S. stocks — but still, the price is not responding.

Meanwhile U.S. exports are booming. Rather than being constrained by OPEC cuts, global production is rising. Ironically, even Saudi Arabia is pumping above its target, reporting to the cartel that last month it raised output to 10.7 million barrels per day, a 190,000 b/d increase on the previous month and 12,000 b/d above its own target.

The Kingdom claims it needed to increase output to meet peak electricity-generating demand experienced during the summer months, but the Saudi increase contributed to total OPEC overproduction of 393,500 b/d from last month, according to the Financial Times.

(Click to enlarge)

Source: Financial Times

Iraq, Nigeria and Libya are all pumping more oil than at any time this year and Iran is close to its own year’s highest output, too.

In addition, Canadian oil sands production is rising, Production is predicted to be higher still next year as new projects come on-stream (despite the low prices), making many projects marginal or even loss-making, debts must be repaid and oil sands producers are hanging in there hoping for firmer prices. Related: Settling The Ukrainian Gas War

News south of the border is not encouraging, though. U.S. tight or shale oil production has continued to rise this year, although at a more gradual rate than seen over the last 12 months. Nevertheless, shale oil producers have become adept at squeezing profits out of production, even at sub-$50 per barrel prices, and show no signs of backing off at current levels.

Long-position holders are hoping OPEC may take further action to curb supplies, but members are sticking to their mantra that they expect stocks to decrease and, therefore, prices to rise, as the current restrictions bite.

But as the Financial Times notes, OPEC’s own monthly report indicates the group still faces an uphill struggle to balance output under the terms of its supply deal, what with cheating and non-OPEC production.

A balanced oil market seems a distant dream for producers.

By AG Metal Miner

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News