• 4 minutes THE GREAT OIL PRICE PREDICTION CHALLENGE OF 2018
  • 9 minutes Time For Reaction: Trump Presses OPEC to Reduce Prices as Crude Trades Near $80
  • 15 minutes Nothing new in Middle East? Iran Puts On 'Show Of Strength' Military Exercise In Gulf
  • 5 hours So oil touched $80! (WTI break $71 twice). What does the future hold?
  • 6 hours Global Hunger Continues to Grow Driven By Climate Change
  • 7 hours China Tariff Threatens U.S. LNG Boom
  • 9 hours Why Are the Maldives Still above Sea Level?
  • 1 hour Threat: Iran warns U.S, Israel to expect a 'devastating' revenge
  • 7 hours Praise for Alberta
  • 10 hours Downloadable 3D Printed Gun Designs, Yay or Nay?
  • 15 hours Freedom Of Internet: Google Plans Censored Version Of Search Engine In China!
  • 2 days Transition Time: Volkswagen Announces "Electric for All" Campaign
  • 1 day Toyota Agreed To Add Android Auto To Its Vehicles
  • 14 hours Lack of Global Warming Messes with Russian Arctic LNG Plans
  • 15 mins Saudi Aramco IPO Seems Unlikely
  • 2 days Permian already crested the productivity bell curve - downward now to Tier 2 geological locations
  • 2 days Robots Roam the Seafloor Looking for Mineral Resources
  • 2 days Impeachment and stock market
Alt Text

Why WTI Could Crash In The Coming Weeks

Refinery maintenance season is quickly…

Alt Text

OPEC Outages Are Driving Up Oil Prices

Geopolitics is once again playing…

Alt Text

IEA: Tight Markets To Push Oil Prices Above $80

IEA’s latest monthly oil report…

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana Paraskova

Tsvetana is a writer for the U.S.-based Divergente LLC consulting firm with over a decade of experience writing for news outlets such as iNVEZZ and…

More Info

Trending Discussions

Oil Prices Steady, But $80 Oil Is Coming, Says Analyst

Oil

Oil prices were basically flat early on Wednesday, but $80 oil could be just around the corner, according to analyst Jodie Gunzberg, head of commodity and real asset indices at S&P Dow Jones Indices in a CNBC interview on Wednesday.

While prices are holding just below highs from earlier this week after U.S. crude inventories surprisingly declined amid higher demand, Gunzberg sees a “real rebalancing” taking place in the oil market.

The catalysts, Gunzberg explains, are improved OPEC compliance, strong demand growth in China—not to mention Hurricane Harvey, which disrupted US refineries.

“When we look at the index data, we can see the price could move even as high as $80 to $85 (a barrel),” Gunzberg said, noting that this would not happen immediately. “…with their structural backwardation and shortages in the market, you just can't replenish it overnight," she said.

Another catalyst for higher oil prices is the fact that Turkey could cut off the crude oil flow from the northern Iraqi region of Kurdistan, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday. That threat has sparked concern that cutting off Kurdish oil could take around 500,000 bpd off the market.

West Texas Intermediate hit US$52.22 a barrel at the close of trade on Monday, up by 3 percent, as the Kurdistan issue, coupled with evidence that the global overhang is depleting, joined forces to push up international benchmarks. WTI is now back in a bull market, having risen more than 20 percent since the June lows. Brent crude settled at US$59.02 on Monday, its highest since July 2015. On Tuesday, Brent settled 1 percent down, as investors took profits after the price had hit a 26-month high the previous day.

Earlier on Wednesday, the EIA reported a draw of 1.8 million barrels in United States crude oil inventories, compared to analyst expectations that inventories would build by 3.422 million barrels for the week ending September 22. Gasoline inventories built for the first time in two weeks, by 1.1 million barrels for the week ending September 22, against an expected draw of 921,000 barrels.

Related: Was Goldman Sachs Wrong About Oil Demand?

Despite the variance from analyst predictions, oil prices were little changed after the release of inventory data.

“Going forward, oil is likely to remain supported as supply disruptions, combined with solid global demand, will probably continue to lift prices,” ANZ said in a research note, quoted by Reuters.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

More Top Read From Oilprice.com:




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment
  • Tom on September 27 2017 said:
    Ford motors said the same by cutting auto, not pick-up production.
  • Mickie on September 28 2017 said:
    I don't think so. The Americans will just turn on the pumps. Then, we're back at too much production.

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News