• 4 minutes Oil Price Could Fall To $30 If Global Deal Not Extended
  • 7 minutes Middle East on brink: Oil tankers attacked off Oman
  • 11 minutes CNN:America's oil boom will break more records this year. OPEC is stuck in retreat
  • 14 minutes The Latest: Iranian FM Says US Cannot Expect To ‘Stay Safe’
  • 2 hours The Pope: "Climate change ... doomsday predictions can no longer be met with irony or disdain."
  • 1 hour Coal Boom in Asia is Real and a Long Trend
  • 1 hour The Plastics Problem
  • 3 hours Hydrogen FTW... Some Day
  • 13 hours China's President Xi To Visit North Korea This Week
  • 17 hours OPEC, GEO-POLITICS & OIL SUPPLY & PRICES
  • 6 hours GM Considering Electric Hummer
  • 2 hours As Iran Nuclear Deal Flounders, France Turns To Saudi For Oil
  • 15 hours Forbes: Giant Floating Solar Farms Could Extract CO2 From Seawater, Producing Methanol Fuel.
  • 9 hours The Magic and Wonders of US Shale Supply: Keeping energy price shock minimised: US oil supply keeping lid on prices despite global risks: IEA chief
  • 20 hours Why Is America (Texas) Burning Millions of Dollars Per Day Of Natural Gas?
  • 19 hours Fareed Zakaria: Canary in the Coal Mine (U.S. Dollar Hegemony)
  • 18 hours Hormuz and surrounding waters: Energy Threats to the World: Oil, LNG, shipping markets digest new risks after Strait of Hormuz attack
  • 13 hours Russia removes special military forces from Venezuela . . . . Maduro gone by September ? . . . Oil starts to flow ? Think so . .
Alt Text

Oil Just Had Its Worst Run Since 2008

Oil prices have entered bear…

Alt Text

Oil Set For Worst Monthly Drop Since November

Oil prices continued to slide…

Alt Text

The Oil Price Risk Analysts Are Ignoring

While geopolitical tensions in the…

Charles Kennedy

Charles Kennedy

Charles is a writer for Oilprice.com

More Info

Trending Discussions

Most Oil Industry Experts See Oil Below $60 Through 2017

Most top experts from the oil industry do not expect oil prices to trade beyond $60 per barrel in the next 12 months.

According to a Bloomberg survey at the Asia-Pacific Petroleum Conference in Singapore this week, 14 out of 15 senior oil traders and executives project oil prices to trade within a price range of $40 to $60 per barrel for the next year.

“The issue is that once prices go up too fast, American drillers start to produce more,” Arzu Azimov, head of Socar Trading SA, told Bloomberg. “The market will stay in the corridor of $40 to $50, max $55.”

Top analysts have once again been forced to revise down their expectations. Oil traders interviewed by Bloomberg said that they were more bullish at the beginning of this year, but Iran, Saudi Arabia and even resilient U.S. shale surprised with higher-than-expected output, delaying the eventual and inevitable rebalancing.

“The oil market isn’t yet balanced,” Saad Rahim, chief economist at Trafigura Group Pte., said in a Bloomberg interview. “The market has yet to start working through millions of barrels of inventories accumulated during the downturn.”

A separate survey from The Wall Street Journal of 12 major investment banks finds similar results. The banks project an average Brent crude price of $57 per barrel in 2017, up slightly from an August survey. Related: Record Earthquake Threatens Oil And Gas Industry In Oklahoma

“I don’t see a fundamental justification for prices above $50,” Hamza Khan, head of commodity strategy at ING Bank, told the WSJ. ING expects Brent to stay near $40 this year and next.

Nearly all of the experts and investment banks were unimpressed by the rumors about the OPEC production freeze deal. Most questioned the ability of the group to reach an agreement, and in any event, dismissed the potential deal as not all that significant for oil prices.

“Every time before an OPEC meeting they say a freeze is a good idea and every time they come out empty-handed,” Hamza Khan told the WSJ. “It’s pretty clear that producers are focused on pumping as much as they could.”

By Charles Kennedy of Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment
  • Morgan on September 09 2016 said:
    Are these the same experts that have missed all the other ups and downs of oil prices? It's amazing how many of these supposed to be experts are no better at these predictions than a monkey throwing a dart at a board that contains the various prices.

Leave a comment





Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News