• 4 minutes "Natural Gas Trading Picks Up Considerably Amid High Volatility" by Charles Kennedy - ...And is U.S. NatGas Futures dramatically overbought at the $6.35 range?
  • 8 minutes How Far Have We Really Gotten With Alternative Energy
  • 12 minutes  What Russia has reached over three months diplomatic and military pressure on West ?
  • 40 mins GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES
  • 5 days "The Calm Before The Storm In Oil Markets" by Tom Kool of OILPRICE and seen at YahooFinance
  • 5 hours Revisiting: "The U.S. Grid Isn’t Ready For A Major Shift To Renewables" from March 2021 by Irina Slav at OILPRICE
  • 15 hours How cheap Chinese tires might explain Russia's 'stalled' 40-mile-long military convoy in Ukraine
  • 5 days "Russia will stop 'in a moment' if Ukraine meets terms - Kremlin" by Reuters via Yahoo News...but Reuters suddenly cut out the balanced part of the story.
  • 5 days Will Variants and Ill-Health Continue to Plague Economic Outlooks?
  • 5 days Oil Stocks, Market Direction, Bitcoin, Minerals, Gold, Silver - Technical Trading <--- Chris Vermeulen & Gareth Soloway weigh in
Charles Kennedy

Charles Kennedy

Charles is a writer for Oilprice.com

More Info

Premium Content

Most Oil Industry Experts See Oil Below $60 Through 2017

Most top experts from the oil industry do not expect oil prices to trade beyond $60 per barrel in the next 12 months.

According to a Bloomberg survey at the Asia-Pacific Petroleum Conference in Singapore this week, 14 out of 15 senior oil traders and executives project oil prices to trade within a price range of $40 to $60 per barrel for the next year.

“The issue is that once prices go up too fast, American drillers start to produce more,” Arzu Azimov, head of Socar Trading SA, told Bloomberg. “The market will stay in the corridor of $40 to $50, max $55.”

Top analysts have once again been forced to revise down their expectations. Oil traders interviewed by Bloomberg said that they were more bullish at the beginning of this year, but Iran, Saudi Arabia and even resilient U.S. shale surprised with higher-than-expected output, delaying the eventual and inevitable rebalancing.

“The oil market isn’t yet balanced,” Saad Rahim, chief economist at Trafigura Group Pte., said in a Bloomberg interview. “The market has yet to start working through millions of barrels of inventories accumulated during the downturn.”

A separate survey from The Wall Street Journal of 12 major investment banks finds similar results. The banks project an average Brent crude price of $57 per barrel in 2017, up slightly from an August survey. Related: Record Earthquake Threatens Oil And Gas Industry In Oklahoma

“I don’t see a fundamental justification for prices above $50,” Hamza Khan, head of commodity strategy at ING Bank, told the WSJ. ING expects Brent to stay near $40 this year and next.

Nearly all of the experts and investment banks were unimpressed by the rumors about the OPEC production freeze deal. Most questioned the ability of the group to reach an agreement, and in any event, dismissed the potential deal as not all that significant for oil prices.

“Every time before an OPEC meeting they say a freeze is a good idea and every time they come out empty-handed,” Hamza Khan told the WSJ. “It’s pretty clear that producers are focused on pumping as much as they could.”

By Charles Kennedy of Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:


Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage





Leave a comment
  • Morgan on September 09 2016 said:
    Are these the same experts that have missed all the other ups and downs of oil prices? It's amazing how many of these supposed to be experts are no better at these predictions than a monkey throwing a dart at a board that contains the various prices.

Leave a comment




EXXON Mobil -0.35
Open57.81 Trading Vol.6.96M Previous Vol.241.7B
BUY 57.15
Sell 57.00
Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News