In my last column, I opined that oil was on the verge of the supply turnaround that we have been waiting on for the better part of a year, and that buying targets for a true renaissance in oil prices was the order of the day.
In the interim, Hurricane Harvey decimated the Gulf Coast, sending all of the energy markets in as much of a state of panic as the residents of Houston have been forced to endure. All of the ‘sure things’ that oil traders have banked upon during storm season were multiplied tenfold, as crude oil got destroyed while refined products, particularly gasoline, soared.
For the inside baseball oil traders who have seen this before, it was a jackpot in crack spread trading, but for us as stock traders, we also have witnessed a major acceleration of target finding in the last week. Instead of waiting weeks for targets to be met, several key stocks reached them in the last week --- and are preparing to take off, in my view.
The storm shut in all Gulf Coast refining, forcing produced crude to disappear into storage, temporarily swelling gluts that were in the process of clearing. This had the effect of collapsing oil prices and most of our shale oil companies with them – allowing them to hit targets we should have been waiting for.
Let me give you two quick examples from my own trading:
(Click to enlarge)
EOG Resources, under tremendous pressure from less than impressive 2nd quarter results and reeling…