• 5 minutes Rage Without Proof: Maduro Accuses U.S. Official Of Plotting Venezuela Invasion
  • 8 minutes What Can Bring Oil Down to $20?
  • 14 minutes Paris Is Burning Over Climate Change Taxes -- Is America Next?
  • 3 hours Alberta govt to construct another WCS processing refinery
  • 1 hour Let's Just Block the Sun, Shall We?
  • 4 hours Venezuela continues to sink in misery
  • 2 hours Instead Of A Withdrawal, An Initiative: Iran Hopes To Agree With Russia And Turkey on Syrian Constitution Forum
  • 20 hours U.S. Senate Advances Resolution To End Military Support For Saudis In Yemen
  • 2 days OPEC Cuts Deep to Save Cartel
  • 22 hours Quebecans Snub Noses at Alberta's Oil but Buy More Gasoline
  • 2 days $867 billion farm bill passed
  • 15 hours Regular Gas dropped to $2.21 per gallon today
  • 2 days Contradictory: Euro Zone Takes Step To Deeper Integration, Key Issues Unresolved
  • 2 days WTO So Set Up Panels To Rule On U.S. Tariff Disputes
  • 2 days IEA Sees Global Oil Supply Tightening More Quickly In 2019
  • 2 days Global Economy-Bad Days Are coming
Dan Dicker

Dan Dicker

Dan Dicker is a 25 year veteran of the New York Mercantile Exchange where he traded crude oil, natural gas, unleaded gasoline and heating oil…

More Info

Winners And Losers Of $80 Oil, Part IV

For the last few columns on winners and losers of $80 oil, I want to try and construct an investment strategy we can use for the duration of what I’m calling the $80 oil winter. There are definitely some positional moves that should be made in portfolios right now as stock indexes streak higher while most energy shares lag.

We’ve seen capital expenditure cuts come from the big and small in energy, from Shell (RDS.A) to Conoco-Philips (COP) to Continental Resources (CLR) and Rosetta Resources (ROSE) to Halcon (HK). And despite the rosy spin that most of these companies have tried to put on these capex cuts, the final result of lower spends will be lower volume growth. We’ll inevitably see the markets instill some discipline into the US oil sector that has expanded on a platform of a breakneck drilling pace, expensive leases and high-yield bond leverage. A recent FT article highlights areas, particularly in the Mississippi Lime and Eaglebine that put over 400,000 barrels a day at risk, while I have outlined various players in the Bakken and the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale that I believe add close to 500,000 barrels a day of production that is at risk. All of this doesn’t count the better-capitalized players in more core areas that will also inevitably lower growth rates in an $80 oil environment. But all that will take time.

How long? We’ve already been clear that production declines will come as a last resort for US E+P’s, as bondholders…

To read the full article

Please sign up and become a premium OilPrice.com member to gain access to read the full article.

RegisterLogin

Trending Discussions




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News