• 4 minutes Why Trump will win the wall fight
  • 9 minutes Climate Change: A Summer of Storms and Smog Is Coming
  • 12 minutes Maduro Asks OPEC For Help Against U.S. Sanctions
  • 16 minutes Washington Eyes Crackdown On OPEC
  • 18 hours is climate change a hoax? $2 Trillion/year worth of programs intended to be handed out by politicians and bureaucrats?
  • 7 hours Ayn Rand Was Right
  • 4 hours Tension On The Edge: Pakistan Urges U.N. To Intervene Over Kashmir Tension With India
  • 7 hours Oil imports by countries
  • 8 hours Sanctions or Support: Despite Sanctions, Iran's Oil Exports Rise In Early 2019
  • 6 hours Solar and Wind Will Not "Save" the Climate
  • 5 hours Indian Oil Signs First Annual Deal For U.S. OilIndian Oil Signs First Annual Deal For U.S. Oil
  • 3 hours AI Will Eliminate Call Center Jobs
  • 4 hours NZ Oil, Gas Ban Could Cost $30 Bln
  • 20 hours Regular Gas dropped to $2.21 per gallon today
Alt Text

Momentum Is Building For Oil

Oil prices rallied towards the…

Alt Text

Why The Oil Rally Isn’t Over Yet

OPEC+ output cuts and several…

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson is a retired computer engineer. He worked in Saudi Arabia for five years, two years at the Ghazlan Power Plant near Ras Tanura…

More Info

Trending Discussions

Hurricane Season Weighs On Gulf Of Mexico Production

Production

Production for June by BOEM was 1631 kbpd and by EIA 1636, compared with 1673 and 1659 kbpd, respectively, in May. The decline was mostly from Thunder Horse going offline and Constitution staying offline. Hurricane Cindy didn’t seem to have much of an impact, things will be different for the impact of Harvey on August figures.

Even with the two offline facilities coming back July numbers will struggle to beat those for March, and after that the depletion declines and hurricane disruptions take over. Note that the “others” area includes any assumptions BOEM has made to allow for missing data, which is quite a lot this month.

(Click to enlarge)

The combined new fields added from late 2014 are holding a plateau with South Santa Cruz and Barataria fields added and a new lease for Marmalard starting (adding about 20 kbpd combined). Stones also had a better month and achieved 70 percent of nameplate capacity. It’s interesting that five leases have come on line and then have effectively been killed off in this thirty-month period: Amethyst (a small gas field that died after sputtering along for about six months, and not shown as the flow was so small), one lease in Lucius, Kodiak, one lease in Caesar/Tonga/Tahiti, and one in Rigel. Dalmatian South production fell immediately after start-up and was offline for a couple of months but came back in June (there are plans for subsea pumping to be installed but I don’t know the present status).

(Click to enlarge)

The big drops have been for BP, with Thunder Horse off line for part of June, and for Anadarko with the Constitution shut down extending into a second month (I think a bit longer than was planned).

Related: How EIA Guestimates Keep Oil Prices Subdued

(Click to enlarge)

(Click to enlarge)


(Click to enlarge)

Mature deepwater fields continue a general decline. Note for all fields there is some missing data for June and even in May – I have assumed production remains constant from the previous given month’s numbers in each case. For some reason Hess’s Tubular Bells has no reported figures for eight months now.

(Click to enlarge)

Shallow Fields

The shallow fields in the GoM are in steady decline for both oil and gas, but different leases are more oil and gas prone.

(Click to enlarge)

(Click to enlarge)

Production Breakdown

These charts show breakdown of production by company – most oil comes from four companies: Shell, BP, Chevron (including Union Oil) and Anadarko (their historical numbers include those for Freeport McMoRan, which they bought last year) – and by depth, which doesn’t tell me much, except maybe that ultra-deep hasn’t delivered as much as was once expected. Note these charts only go to May as June has a lot of missing data for the shallow leases (and some for May too I think, but it all comes from well numbers and there are too many to check).

(Click to enlarge)

(Click to enlarge)

Lease Expiry

BOEM provide data of when undeveloped leases have expired or will expire. There has been only one so far this year (Kaskida). However, there are a lot due over the next few years, as shown below. Presumably they can be extended, though at some cost, but this may indicate a lot of development decisions (for both greenfield and browfield work) need to be made in the coming couple of years. Some of the big ones due this year are Shenandoah, North Platte and Yucatan; next year and 2019 there are a couple each in Rigel and La Femme, plus Anchor, Leon, Gibson and Samurai, and overall another six or so associated with older producing fields (i.e. that would require tie-backs or outreach drilling).

Related: Can Putin Bring Peace To The Korean Peninsula?

(Click to enlarge)

Drilling and Workovers

There are thirty rigs listed with drilling operations in the BOEM deepwater activity for 29th August, plus sixteen workover operations (in any of the charts if there is a number after a name it shows the number of well operations listed against that field). Six rigs have no field listed so are presumably wildcats. There don’t seem to be any appraisal wells in progress. Also any impacts from Hurricane Harvey aren’t apparent (the rigs that were abandoned were mostly jack-ups in shallow water so wouldn’t be included).

By George Kaplan via Peak Oil Barrel

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News