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Surprise Crude Draw Sends Oil Prices Higher

This week, the American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated the inventory draw for crude oil to be 3.089 million barrels.

U.S. crude inventories have shed some 60 million barrels since the beginning of the year.

Analyst expectations for the week were for a build of 2.093-million barrels for the week.

In the previous week, the API reported a draw in oil inventories of 747,000 barrels, compared to the 1.667-million-barrel draw that analysts had predicted.

Oil prices had been trading up by more than 3% on Tuesday in the run-up to the data release as earlier concern about the Omicron variant faded into the landscape of OPEC+’s bullish outlook that prompted the group to plan on increasing production in January by another 400,000 bpd.

By 3:00 p.m. EST WTI had risen more than 3% to $71.96—a more than $5 per barrel increase since this time last week. Brent was trading up nearly 3% at $75.43 per barrel, nearly $5 higher

Inventory

U.S. oil production for the week ending November 26—the last week for which the Energy Information Administration has provided data—rose by 100,000 bpd to 11.6 million bpd—the second such rise in as many weeks. Production is still off from the U.S. high of 13.1 million bpd prior to the pandemic.

The API reported a build in gasoline inventories of 3.705 million barrels for the week ending December 3—after the previous week's 2.2-million-barrel build.

Distillate stocks also saw an increase in inventory of 1.228 million barrels for the week, after last week's 800,000-barrel increase. Cushing saw a 2.395 million-barrel increase this week.

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By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • Mamdouh Salameh on December 08 2021 said:
    Crude oil prices are surging not because of an inventory draw estimated by the American Petroleum Institute (API) at 3.089 million barrels but because the WHO reported so far no deaths from the Omicron variant and that available vaccines are capable of dealing with it thus banishing any thoughts of a return to lockdown.

    If President Biden’s announcement of a release of 50 million barrels from the SPR left the global oil market and prices unmoved, does anybody think that a draw of 3 million barrels will stir prices and market? I don’t think so.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Visiting Professor of Energy Economics at ESCP Europe Business School, London

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