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Geopolitics / Middle East

IRAN: Behind the Scenes Ahead of Kazakhstan Talks

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:38 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Against the backdrop of 25 February P5+1 talks in Astana, Kazakhstan, the Obama administration is seeking to lay the foundation for a deal with Tehran once Iran’s June…

YEMEN: Not an Iranian Invasion

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:34 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: US claims that Iran is smuggling weapons to Shi’ite Houthi militants in Yemen come as Yemen embarks on a serious restructuring of the military to rid it of…

Syria, L'Enfant Terrible of Foreign Politics

Feb 13, 2013 at 16:55 | Claude Salhani

Syria today finds itself on the edge of a precipice, on the verge of falling into a deep political, social and economic abyss that could send the country spiralling into…

The Syrian End Game: A Private Actor Arena

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:15 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Our attempts at offering probability scenarios for an end game in Syria are crippled by the intensified meddling of a growing number of private actors who have formed…

U.S. Violating its Own Sanctions on Iran

Feb 01, 2013 at 16:55 | Daniel J. Graeber

An audit of U.S. defense spending in Afghanistan finds the Pentagon may have spent a significant amount of money on fuel for the military there that came from Iran. Congress…

Qatar's Agenda in Syria

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:15 | Editorial Dept

Situation: Qatar continues to funnel weapons and facilitate other assistance to Syrian rebels and Salafi jihadists fighting the Assad regime in Syria.Bottom Line: Determining the outcome of the…

Iran on the Offensive

Jan 29, 2013 at 17:13 | Claude Salhani

Until now, the Arab oil producing countries of the Persian Gulf, also called the Arabian Gulf, or to those seeking political neutrality, simply the Gulf, looked at their Persian neighbour…

Exxon, BP Straddle Front Line in Iraq-Kurd Oil War

Jan 29, 2013 at 17:12 | Charles Kennedy

BP Plc (NYSE: BP) and Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) are caught on opposite sides of the front line of the oil war between the Iraqi central government and the…

Is Iraq Slipping into Civil War?

Jan 25, 2013 at 12:55 | Editorial Dept

Incident: On 22 January, 17 people were killed and dozens wounded in a series of attacks in and around Baghdad and in Northern Iraq. Explosions targeted a military checkpoint in…

Jordan - Problems Ahead?

Jan 25, 2013 at 12:49 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Parliamentary elections on 23 January were billed as King Abdullah’s reform remedy for stemming the tide of rebellion. The opposition Muslim Brotherhood boycotted the polls because the King’s reform…

Iraq - Kuwait - Turkey: Relations Hit a New Low

Jan 18, 2013 at 12:03 | Editorial Dept

Incident: In an indication of the dangerous new low reached in Iraqi-Turkish relations, Iraq’s central government has rescinded an exploration deal with a Turkey’s state-run TPAO and approved a new…

So Much for Desert Storm - Kuwait and Iraq Collaborate on Energy

Jan 15, 2013 at 17:20 | John Daly

News emanating from the Middle East since the outbreak of the “Arab spring” two years ago has been intermittently nervous, but beneath the headlines, some political seismic shifts have been…

A New Middle East Crisis in the Making

Jan 15, 2013 at 17:12 | Claude Salhani

A demographic time bomb is clicking away in the Middle East with the creation of a new refugee problem as the continuing civil war in Syria is seeing the numbers…

Iran-Pakistan: Western Pipeline Nightmare

Jan 10, 2013 at 13:52 | Editorial Dept

Incident: The National Iranian Gas Company has announced it will begin construction of the Iran-Pakistan (IP) pipeline within 30 days. Construction will start on the Pakistani side with…

Iran - Power Play in Strait of Hormuz

Jan 10, 2013 at 13:49 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Iran has test-fired a newly upgraded missile system near the strategic oil and gas Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf. The Raad (Thunder) missile system launches…

Iran's Real Threat to the West

Jan 09, 2013 at 17:07 | Claude Salhani

Since the Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979 much has been said about the threat the mullahs who control the country pose to international oil markets.  A large…

The Imperial Dream of the Muslim Brotherhood

Jan 02, 2013 at 16:52 | Felix Imonti

The end will justify the means to unite the Islamic peoples into a world of virtue and prosperity to where the Muslim Brotherhood says that it will bring them.  Egypt…

Hezbollah Sends Warm Greetings on Christmas

Dec 29, 2012 at 12:48 | Claude Salhani

Hezbollah, the pro-Iranian Lebanese Shiite organization, designated as a terrorist organization by the United States and Israel, posted a Christmas greeting to all Christians in the world, but particularly those…

Chinese Oil Companies Apparent Victors in Post-Saddam Iraq

Dec 27, 2012 at 18:18 | John Daly

It was not supposed to be like this.After 2003’s U.S.-led Operation Iraqi Freedom, Iraq’s vast oil reserves, a monopoly under the Baathist government of deposed President Saddam Hussein,…

How Bad do Sanctions Really Hurt Iran?

Dec 11, 2012 at 17:04 | Daniel J. Graeber

With 20 governments expressing their commitment to reduce the amount of crude oil purchased from Iran, the U.S. government said oil production from the Islamic republic was down by 1…

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