• 6 minutes WTI @ 67.50, charts show $62.50 next
  • 11 minutes Saudi Fund Wants to Take Tesla Private?
  • 17 minutes Why hydrogen economics is does not work
  • 9 hours Starvation, horror in Venezuela
  • 14 mins The EU Loses The Principles On Which It Was Built
  • 11 hours Desperate Call or... Erdogan Says Turkey Will Boycott U.S. Electronics
  • 6 hours Crude Price going to $62.50
  • 15 hours Anyone Worried About the Lira Dragging EVERYTHING Else Down?
  • 9 hours Chinese EV Startup Nio Files for $1.8 billion IPO
  • 20 hours Oil prices---Tug of War: Sanctions vs. Trade War
  • 20 hours Correlation does not equal causation, but they do tend to tango on occasion
  • 8 hours WSJ *still* refuses to acknowledge U.S. Shale Oil industry's horrible economics and debts
  • 20 hours Russia retaliate: Our Response to U.S. Sanctions Will Be Precise And Painful
  • 1 day WTI @ 69.33 headed for $70s - $80s end of August
  • 22 hours Monsanto hit by $289 Million for cancerous weedkiller
  • 1 day California Solar Mandate Based on False Facts
Alt Text

Saudi Arabia And Iran Reignite The Oil Price War

As U.S. sanctions on Tehran…

Alt Text

Oil Prices Hit 7-Week Low As Trade War Heats Up

Oil prices traded close to…

Alt Text

Oil Prices Jump As Saudis Cap Oil Supply

Oil prices rose on Tuesday…

Charles Kennedy

Charles Kennedy

Charles is a writer for Oilprice.com

More Info

Trending Discussions

U.S. Gasoline Prices Could Stay Low For The Time Being

U.S. Gasoline Prices Could Stay Low For The Time Being

 The oil bust has been largely a supply-driven phenomenon. Unlike the last time that oil prices were this low – during the 2008-2009 financial crisis – this past year’s price collapse has not been because of destruction in demand, but due to too much supply.

Nevertheless, the way the oil markets get out of the current mess and find equilibrium is from both a supply and demand correction. Supply is indeed falling in the United States. Last week the EIA reported sharply lower production figures for the first half of 2015, revealing that U.S. oil production has been falling quicker than previously expected. Related: Two Big Oil And Gas Finds In Unexpected Places

But the demand side of the equation is also pointing to signs of adjustment. Lower prices have spurred much stronger demand for refined products. Car sales for the month of August hit their highest levels on an annualized basis since 2005. And consumers are preferring heavier-duty vehicles, which burn more fuel. Truck sales are up 8.6 percent from the same month a year ago. In June, U.S. motorists drove the most miles ever recorded in a single month, and gasoline consumption spiked by 4 percent from June 2014.

The rapid rise in consumption is obviously linked to low prices at the pump. The EIA published new data that shows that gasoline prices during the Labor Day holiday weekend – a weekend of exceptionally high traffic on the roads – were at their lowest levels in 11 years. In fact, a gallon of gas on Labor Day 2015 was 95 cents lower on average than the same gallon a year ago. Related: Desperate Putin Not Giving Up On Asia Just Yet

RetailGasolinePrices

Although predicting movements in the oil price has increasingly become a fool’s errand, there are several upcoming developments that could slow the demand growth rate, and put downward pressure on the price of crude. Following the Labor Day holiday weekend, which more or less marks the end of peak driving season, U.S. motorists may drive less than they have in recent months. Related: Alberta’s Oil Companies Warn Government On Taxes

Also, refineries are undergoing maintenance and are switching to winter fuel blends (which are cheaper than summer blends). Maintenance could take some refineries offline temporarily, and the lower throughput could reduce demand for crude oil.

In the near-term, that could mean that cheap gasoline is here to stay.

By Charles Kennedy of Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News