• 7 minutes Reuters: OPEC Ministers Agree In Principle On 1 Million Barrels Per Day Nominal Output Increase
  • 13 minutes Could Venezuela become a net oil importer?
  • 18 minutes Oil prices going Up? NO!
  • 2 hours The Tony Seba report
  • 4 hours Reuters: OPEC Ministers Agree In Principle On 1 Million Barrels Per Day Nominal Output Increase
  • 1 hour Could Venezuela become a net oil importer?
  • 2 hours Harley-Davidson "Made in EU"
  • 4 hours Erdogan After Erdogan: New Presidential Mandate After Yesterday's Elections
  • 58 mins Time Of Recession - China and Europe Are Warning That A Trade War Could Trigger A Global Recession
  • 8 hours LNG Shortage on the Way
  • 3 hours The U.S. Will Soon Give North Korea a Timeline of 'Specific Asks
  • 14 hours Kenya Eyes 200+ Oil Wells
  • 13 hours Are Electric Vehicles Really Better For The Environment?
  • 6 hours Sell out now or hold on?
  • 14 hours OPEC soap opera daily update
  • 22 hours Saudi Arabia turns to solar
  • 18 hours Renewables to generate 50% of worldwide electricity by 2050 (BNEF report)
  • 5 hours No LNG Pipelines? Let the Trucks Roll In
  • 1 hour Saudi Arabia plans to physically cut off Qatar by moat, nuclear waste and military base
Alt Text

Is Russia Bailing On The OPEC Deal?

Russia, the world’s largest oil…

Alt Text

OPEC’s Agreement Sends Oil Prices Soaring

Oil prices spiked on Friday…

Alt Text

Why OPEC+ Needed To Add More Oil

OPEC’s decision to increase production…

Matt Smith

Matt Smith

Taking a voyage across the world of energy with ClipperData’s Director of Commodity Research. Follow on Twitter @ClipperData, @mattvsmith01

More Info

Trending Discussions

The Main Points to Take from the Latest IMF, IEA, and EIA Reports

The Main Points to Take from the Latest IMF, IEA, and EIA Reports

There has been an acronymtastic set of reports this week from the IEA, IMF, and EIA. So from these nine letters come six charts out of three reports. Alphabetti spaghetti indeed.

First up is the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, which highlights a couple of key trends through some simple graphics. This first one is economic growth illustrated through painting by numbers – the darker the blue, the stronger the growth. The seeping from beige to red…the worse it gets.

Yes, the most obvious observation is that the OECD (the developed nations) appear to be lagging the most in terms of economic growth.

But what is most fascinating from an energy perspective is that all three of the outliers across the globe – the pink in South America (Venezuela), the beige in Africa (Sudan), and the red in the Middle East (Iran) – are all petro-states, and have seen deteriorating economic conditions due to falling oil flows. Iran’s problems are due to sanctions, Sudan due to its border war with South Sudan, and Venezuela due to underinvestment in its oil industry.

World 2013 GDP Growth Forecasts

The second chart from the IMF report underscores how commodity prices not only trend with industrial and manufacturing activity, but also with equities. Something to consider as we see equities and commodities diverging of late…one of them has to be wrong.

Commodity Prices

Related article: UK Renews Drive for Offshore Oil and Gas

The IEA released the Clean Energy Progress Report for 2013 this week, which is a whopping 154 pages long. Here are two charts plucked from the depths of it, with the first illustrating how coal-fired power generation will continue to be a dominant force this decade – a sentiment echoed in other IEA reports.

In fact, the report highlights an ‘alarmingly slow‘ rate of progress from technologies which are supposed to help diversify the world away from reliance on fossil fuels. In the foreword, the IEA’s executive director Maria van der Hoeven says ‘the carbon intensity of the global supply has barely changed in 20 years, despite successful efforts to deploy renewable energy‘.

Coal and Non-Fossil Power Generation

This reliance on fossil fuels, and specifically coal, is reflected most clearly through the shift in global industrial energy consumption over the past decade. The shift in consumption has basically been a transfer from the OECD to China. And given that China is the largest coal consumer in the world – accounting for almost 50% of global consumption - it is no surprise to see the aforementioned on-going favouritism towards coal.

Global Industrial Energy Consumption by Region

Next up we visit the EIA and its Annual Energy Outlook, which is being released on a staggered basis. Part of this week’s release focuses on international market trends.

Global production of biofuels, coal-to-liquid, and gas-to-liquid fuels totaled 2.1 million barrels a day in 2011, making up 2% of the total of all liquid fuels. The EIA projects this number will nearly triple to 5.7 million barrels a day in 2040.

World Liquids Production from Coal, Biomass, Natural Gas

Related article: Lufkin Acquisition Boosts GE’s Oil & Gas Market Share

But these numbers are tiny compared to total global consumption of petroleum and other liquids. Current consumption is 46 million barrels a day for the OECD, and 43 million for non-OECD.

However, by 2040 this is expected to have shifted to 65 million barrels a day for the non-OECD, compared to a minorly minor rise in the OECD to 47 million barrels. Demand in the OECD will continue to be driven at the margin by price, while non-OECD demand will be driven by economic growth.

World Petroleum and Other Liquids

Thanks for playing alphabetti spaghetti. Until next time…rock on!

By. Matt Smith




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment
  • David B. Benson on April 18 2013 said:
    Clear exposition.

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News