• 2 minutes CV19: New York 21% infection rate + 40% Existing T-Cell immunity = 61% = Herd Immunity ?
  • 4 minutes Is The Three Gorges Dam on the Brink of Collapse?
  • 7 minutes Sources confirm Trump to sign two new Executive orders.
  • 3 hours In a Nutshell...
  • 2 days No More Love: Kanye West Breaks With Trump, Claims 2020 Run Is Not A Stunt
  • 1 day Better Days Are (Not) Coming: Fed Officials Suggest U.S. Recovery May Be Stalling
  • 5 hours Is the oil & gas industry on the way out?
  • 2 days The Coal Industry May Never Recover From The Pandemic
  • 2 days A Real Reality Check on "Green Hydrogen"
  • 3 days Why Oil could hit $100
  • 1 day Where is Alberta, Canada headed?
  • 2 days Putin Paid Militants to Kill US Troops
  • 2 days During March, April, May the states with the highest infections/deaths were NY, NJ, Ma. . . . . Today (June) the three have the best numbers. How ? Herd immunity ?
  • 3 days Why Wind is pitiful for most regions on earth
Moody’s Turns Bearish On Oil Demand Growth

Moody’s Turns Bearish On Oil Demand Growth

Moody’s and the Boston Consulting…

Canada’s Oil Patch Is Bringing Production Back Online

Canada’s Oil Patch Is Bringing Production Back Online

Encouraged by higher oil prices,…

Russia Expects OPEC+ To Ease Cuts Next Month

Russia Expects OPEC+ To Ease Cuts Next Month

Russia’s Energy Minister Novak said…

Bruce Krasting

Bruce Krasting

I worked on Wall Street for twenty five years. I was an FX trader during the early days of the 'snake' and the EMS. Derivatives…

More Info

Premium Content

Will Oil Break Out Soon

Jon Hilsenrath (WSJ) has yet another article on Fed propaganda to ease the way to QE-2. Today it was Chicago Fed boss Charles Evans doing the talking. He is in love with the Fed stuffing its balance sheet further.

He favors "much more [monetary] accommodation than we've put in place."

It’s hard to imaging being more accommodative than the Fed is today. We have ZIRP. We have nearly daily POMO. Rates have never been this low. Ever. We have broken some golden rules on monetization. And Evans thinks we need “much more”?

The Fed might aim to overshoot its informal 2% target for a time to make up for lost ground, Mr. Evans said. "That is a potentially useful policy tool at this point and I definitely think we should study it more,".

All the Fed heads are talking about the need for more inflation. This is nuts. The Fed is in a tiny box and saying, “Deflation is BAD”. If that is true then the opposite, “Inflation is GOOD” must be true. That logic is going to backfire.

There is possible bright side to this. Judging how quickly markets adjust I think there is a possibility that in a relatively short period of time, say the next four months, we have a shake out in oil. It would not take much. All the pieces are there. There is economic growth globally and the dollar is being trashed by the Fed on a daily basis.

I don’t think the average American gives a damn about the dollar. But they care very much about the cost of gas. If we get a price break and the pump says $4.00 and heating oil is $3.00 there will be a backlash. On a broad basis people will be angry. The economy will suffer. Our trade balance and current account will deteriorate. GDP will decline.

At that point the MSM will look for answers. They won’t have far to look. They can blame Mr. Evans or Mr. Bernanke. $120 oil and $4 gas will be brought to you by the Fed. From Hilsenrath’s article, the understatement of the year:

It could be a challenge for the Fed to explain such a strategy, and to convince the public that it wouldn't allow inflation to get completely out of hand.

I can’t wait for Fed officials to explain to Congress and the American people why trashing the dollar and raising the price of energy is good policy. They won’t be able to.

By. Bruce Krasting


Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage





Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News