• 3 minutes e-car sales collapse
  • 6 minutes America Is Exceptional in Its Political Divide
  • 11 minutes Perovskites, a ‘dirt cheap’ alternative to silicon, just got a lot more efficient
  • 6 hours GREEN NEW DEAL = BLIZZARD OF LIES
  • 9 days Does Toyota Know Something That We Don’t?
  • 3 days America should go after China but it should be done in a wise way.
  • 9 days World could get rid of Putin and Russia but nobody is bold enough
  • 11 days China is using Chinese Names of Cities on their Border with Russia.
  • 12 hours Even Shell Agrees with Climate Change!
  • 11 days CHINA Economy Disaster - Employee Shortages, Retirement Age, Birth Rate & Ageing Population
  • 2 days Oil Stocks, Market Direction, Bitcoin, Minerals, Gold, Silver - Technical Trading <--- Chris Vermeulen & Gareth Soloway weigh in
  • 3 days How Far Have We Really Gotten With Alternative Energy
  • 12 days Putin and Xi Bet on the Global South
  • 12 days "(Another) Putin Critic 'Falls' Out Of Window, Dies"
Metal Miner

Metal Miner

MetalMiner is the largest metals-related media site in the US according to third party ranking sites. With a preemptive global perspective on the issues, trends,…

More Info

Premium Content

EU Steel Consumption Predicted To Surge In 2024

  • The European Steel Association (Eurofer) report suggests that apparent steel consumption in the EU may rise by 5.4% in 2024, depending on more favorable developments in the industrial outlook.
  • Despite the projected increase in steel consumption, Eurofer warns of high uncertainty that could undermine demand from steel-using sectors at least in the first half of 2023.
  • Hot rolled coil prices in northern Europe are facing downward pressure from Asian import offers, influenced by China's steel overproduction and economic uncertainty across Europe.

Via AG Metal Miner

A recent European Steel Association (Eurofer) report said that apparent steel consumption within the European Union is likely to improve by 5.4% in 2024. That said, the organization indicated that this figure depends on there being more favorable developments in the bloc’s industrial outlook. Either way, steel prices will likely see some impact from this potential increase.

“However, the overall evolution of steel demand remains subject to high uncertainty,” Eurofer warned in its May 3 report. “[This] is expected to continue to undermine demand from steel-using sectors at least in the first half of 2023.” The association also added that “Quarterly positive developments in apparent steel consumption are only foreseen starting from the third quarter of 2023.” Nonetheless, Eurofer noted that the apparent steel consumption outlook for 2023 points to a 1% drop.

MetalMiner customizes price points, price forecasts and procurement solutions based on the specific metal type your company purchases. See MetalMiner’s full metal catalog.

EU Energy Prices Declining, but Still High

In mid-May, the European Commission also reported that EU economies are likely to grow 1.4% in 2024, which could impact steel prices globally. However, inflation remains a significant challenge. Indeed, the 27-member EU experienced significant economic uncertainty in Q1 due to interest rate hikes and the subsequent lower credit availability. Europe also suffered from higher energy prices following Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

According to information from Trading Economics, Benchmark Dutch TTF gas was down €27.97 ($29.89) per megawatt hour on the afternoon of June 5. Prices previously hit a €339.20 ($363.57) high on Aug. 26, but warmer-than-expected temperatures in Europe’s fall and winter, plus increased diversification of energy sources, helped bring them back down. Even so, the latest price is almost five times higher than the €5.71 ($6.11) reported on the same date in 2020.

Europe previously sourced about 40% of its gas supplies from Russia. However, Russia cut off gas supplies to Europe in retaliation for sanctions imposed on it following its invasion of Ukraine.

Don’t make a poor steel purchase which will cost your company valuable revenue. Request a consultation about MetalMiner’s Monthly Outlook and get a free sample copy.

Hot Rolled Coil Steel Prices Facing Import Competition

Market players recently told MetalMiner that pressure from Asian import offers continues to push down hot rolled coil prices in northern Europe. This is partly due to China overproducing steel throughout Q1 in the face of slower-than-expected growth. Reported offers for the flat-rolled product from European mills were €750 ($800) per metric ton EXW in late May for August rolling, traders said.

That price reflects an average decline of almost 27.2% year-on-year, when prices were closer to €1,030 ($1,100). Though Eurofer sounded a positive note, many analysts expect this combination of historically high energy prices, low demand, and economic uncertainty to weigh on the rest of 2023. Rolls of galvanized steel sheet in metalworking factory warehouse.

ADVERTISEMENT

“Despite these challenging conditions, steel-using sectors’ output grew (+3.1%) also in 2022 after the post-COVID rebound (+6.7%) in 2021,” the association noted. “Growth is expected to slow down over the course of 2023 and notably drop in the second quarter, resulting in an overall limited annual increase (+0.3%). However, this is a slight improvement from the previous outlook, which foresaw a drop (-0.6%), although with wide differences among individual European economies.”

By Christopher Rivituso

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:


Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage





Leave a comment

Leave a comment




EXXON Mobil -0.35
Open57.81 Trading Vol.6.96M Previous Vol.241.7B
BUY 57.15
Sell 57.00
Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News