• 5 minutes 'No - Deal Brexit' vs 'Operation Fear' Globalist Pushback ... Impact to World Economies and Oil
  • 8 minutes China has *Already* Lost the Trade War. Meantime, the U.S. Might Sanction China’s Largest Oil Company
  • 12 minutes Will Uncle Sam Step Up and Cut Production
  • 5 hours Danish Royal Palace ‘Surprised’ By Trump Canceling Trip
  • 6 hours Recession Jitters Are Rising. Is There Reason To Worry?
  • 34 mins A legitimate Request: France Wants Progress In Ukraine Before Russia Returns To G7
  • 1 hour Used Thin Film Solar Panels at 15 Cents per Watt
  • 6 hours China has invested btw $30 - $40 Billon in Canadian Oil Sands. Trump should put 10% tariffs on all Chinese oil exported into or thru U.S. in which Chinese companies have invested .
  • 12 hours US Shale Economic Impact: GDP gain realized in shale boom’s first 10 years
  • 30 mins IS ANOTHER MIDDLE EAST WAR REQUIRED TO BOLSTER THE OIL PRICE
  • 19 hours It's Not the Job of the Government to Dictate Where Businesses Should Go
  • 12 hours Wonders of US Shale: US Shale Benefits: The U.S. leads global petroleum and natural gas production with record growth in 2018
  • 19 hours Offshore subsea sub 50$/bbl : Rystad Energy: High stakes in store for subsea markets if oil falls to $50/bbl
  • 15 hours Philadelphia Energy Solutions seeks to permanently shut oil refinery - sources
  • 16 hours Tit For Tat: China Strikes Back In Trade Dispute With U.S. With New Tariffs
  • 11 hours Domino Effect: Rashida Tlaib Rejects Israel's Offer For 'Humanitarian' Visit To West Bank
  • 10 hours NATGAS, LNG, Technology, benefits etc , cleaner global energy fuel

Yergin: Expects U.S. Oil Output Will Jump By 500,000 Bpd

Oil Production

Daniel Yergin, the oil analyst vet, told CNBC he expected U.S. crude oil production to increase by more than half a million barrels this year, revising an earlier forecast from December, when he saw the increase at between 300,000 and 500,000 barrels per day.

The forecast is based on oil prices staying within the current US$50-55 band, Yergin said. The higher prices have allowed shale producers to increase production indeed, but now drillers and frackers are starting to raise their prices, after suffering a more severe blow from the oil price crash than E&Ps and being forced to sell their services at discount.

Yergin cited improved efficiency as the driver behind the production growth that he expects to see this year, and it may very well be the case that further improving efficiency will become a key concern for E&Ps as a way to offset the higher quotes service providers are offering: some drillers and frackers are asking double what they were asking for their services two months ago.

This could curb the upward potential of production growth, but to what extent is still unclear. At the same time, further dampening optimism, OPEC’s assurances that the production cut is going according to plans have failed to push up prices above US$55 for longer than a few days.

Related: Oil Prices Head Higher On Positive Demand Outlook

Yesterday, another analyst, the managing director of BK Asset Management, warned that oil prices are in a very vulnerable place and the longer they stay within the US$50-55 range, the more likely they are to eventually start declining, rather than rising. Boris Schlossberg told CNBC that if WTI drops to US$50 from the current US$52, the further move downwards will become much more likely than it is now.

Should this happen, E&Ps in the shale patch will need to really start thinking fast to balance growing production costs and falling prices.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:



Join the discussion | Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment

Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News
Download on the App Store Get it on Google Play