 |
Louisiana Light • 1 day | 86.60 | -0.08 | -0.09% | ||
|
Bonny Light • 1 day | 88.73 | -1.64 | -1.81% | ||
|
Opec Basket • 1 day | 87.35 | -2.29 | -2.55% | ||
|
Mars US • 168 days | 77.67 | -1.57 | -1.98% | ||
|
Gasoline • 10 mins | 2.705 | -0.009 | -0.32% |
|
Bonny Light • 1 day | 88.73 | -1.64 | -1.81% | ||
|
Girassol • 1 day | 89.30 | -1.63 | -1.79% | ||
|
Opec Basket • 1 day | 87.35 | -2.29 | -2.55% |
|
Peace Sour • 3 hours | 75.30 | -0.05 | -0.07% | ||
|
Light Sour Blend • 3 hours | 78.35 | -0.05 | -0.06% | ||
|
Syncrude Sweet Premium • 3 hours | 85.30 | -0.05 | -0.06% | ||
|
Central Alberta • 3 hours | 75.70 | -0.05 | -0.07% |
|
Eagle Ford • 1 day | 79.21 | +0.04 | +0.05% | ||
|
Oklahoma Sweet • 1 day | 79.25 | +0.00 | +0.00% | ||
|
Kansas Common • 2 days | 73.00 | -2.50 | -3.31% | ||
|
Buena Vista • 2 days | 86.86 | -2.40 | -2.69% |
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Texas Showing Signs Of Low Oil Price Pressure
The Texas RRC is out with their latest Oil and Gas Production Data. Looks like oil production has leveled out with March production pretty much level with February. All RRC data is through March 2015.
I always show the last 6 months or the RRC data in order to get a pretty good indication of which way data production is moving. From the data you can see that December was a very good month but January was just awful. February was a lot better and March was about the same as February.
(Click image to enlarge)
The chart above was created by Dean Fantazzini, PhD, of the Moscow School of Economics. He has developed an algorithm which predicts what the data will reflect after the final data has come in. His data suggests that Texas crude has plateaued.
Related: Clock Running Out For Struggling Oil Companies
For more on the underlying methodology of Dr. Fantazzini see:
Nowcasting Texas RRC Oil and Gas data (ongoing project)
Condensate seems to have plateaued as well.
(Click to enlarge)
And Dean’s data confirms that the last three months condensate production comes in at a little below the December numbers.
Adding crude and condensate we get what the EIA counts, crude + condensate. The EIA data is only through February while the RRC data is through March.
(Click to enlarge)
Dean has Texas C+C slightly higher than the EIA in December but falling well below them in the last three months. It looks like that Texas has plateaued, so far, at about the December production level.
Related: New Silk Road Could Change Global Economics Forever
Texas gas well gas seems to be in serious decline.
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Texas associated gas has been increasing but will now likely plateau along with oil.
Texas total gas in March comes in above January but well below December.
Related: This LNG Player Could Leave Lumbering Competitors In The Dust
(Click to enlarge)
And Dean’s algorithm has Texas total gas peaking, so far, in December.
By Ron Patterson
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Ron Patterson
Ron Patterson is a retired computer engineer. He worked in Saudi Arabia for five years, two years at the Ghazlan Power Plant near Ras Tanura…
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