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Oil prices had already forgotten about Wednesday’s rate hike by Thursday morning, with WTI hitting $80 per barrel just before noon ET.
WTI was trading at $80 per barrel on Thursday morning at 11:52 a.m. ET, up $1.22 per barrel, or 1.54% on the day. Prices haven’t been this high since mid-April.
Analysts had long warned speculators that the oil markets had already priced in a fed rate hike—a move that typically sends crude oil prices lower on propects of economic slowdown and decreased oil demand. But since the fed rate hike didn’t exactly come out of the blue and was combined with low gasoline inventories and outlooks for tight fundamentals now that we’ve entered the second half of the year, oil prices refused to march to the beat of the federal government’s drum.
Retail gasoline prices were also up on Thursday, with the current gallon of gas in the United States averaging $3.714 at the pump-a nearly 3-cent hike on the day and above the week-ago and month-ago averages, according to AAA data. Gasoline inventories in the United States are 7% below the five-year average for this time of year, according to data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
But ultimately, the oil markets are concerned that there will be a significant tightening this half of the year, with demand signals continuing to be strong while production is still artificially restrained in OPEC+ members and U.S. production fails to gain traction.
By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com
Julianne Geiger is a veteran editor, writer and researcher for Oilprice.com, and a member of the Creative Professionals Networking Group.